The California Golden Bears and the Oregon Ducks meet in Pac-12 football action from Autzen Stadium on Friday night. Both teams are coming off Week 5 losses and will look to bounce back in this matchup. In their previous game, California recently lost 21-6 to the Washington State Cougars as Oregon had an overtime loss to Stanford, 31-24 last week. With that said, let’s check out our college football series and make a California-Oregon prediction and pick.
Here’s how the bookmakers have set the California-Oregon odds:
College Football odds: California-Oregon Odds
California: +13.5 (-110)
Oregon: -13.5 (-110)
Over: 53.5 (-110)
Under: 53.5 (-110)
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Why California Could Cover the Spread
The California Golden Bears have had a rough start to their 2021 season. They lost their first two games by less than a touchdown, won their third game at home, and then lost the next two games for a 1-4 record. They have covered the spread in two of those five games. The offense is led by senior quarterback Chase Garbers, who has 1,245 passing yards and seven touchdowns on the season. The Golden Bears average 375.5 yards on 19.8 points per game this season.
Daniel Scorr leads Cal’s defense with 33 total tackles, including 24 solo tackles, while Cameron Goode and Luc Bequette each have a pair of sacks.
The defense ranks 68th in opponent points per game (27.0) and 57th in opponent yards per game (384.0). The Golden Bears are 14-5 against the spread in their last 19 road games and an impressive 11-1 against the spread as a road underdog in their previous 12 games. Oregon is just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games overall.
Why Oregon Could Cover the Spread
The Oregon Ducks are 4-1 on the season, coming off their first loss of the season to Stanford last week. The Ducks had a very impressive road win in Week 2, beating Ohio State in their home opener 35-28. Quarterback Anthony Brown has been getting it done both through the air and on the ground. Brown has 950 passing yards with six touchdowns and 198 rushing yards with four touchdowns. The Oregon offense is averaging 417.5 yards on 32.8 points per game.
Oregon lost running back CJ Verdell to injury; however, they still have Travis Dye, who has 382 rushing yards for the Ducks this year. The Ducks defense fell flat against Stanford, but Cal has not faced a defense as athletic as Oregon this season. Defensively, the Ducks surrender 25.5 points per game to opponents and rank 2nd overall in opponent turnover margin per game (-1.8). Noah Sewell has a team-high 42 total tackles with a pair of sacks.
Final California-Oregon Prediction & Pick
Over the past few years, Cal has proven to have Oregon’s number, beating the Ducks last year and holding the Justin Herbert-led offense to only 17 points in 2019. Yet, this looks like a get-right game for the Oregon Ducks, who will be playing in front of their home crowd. Cal has not faced an opponent as formidable as Oregon and will struggle to produce offense. The Ducks will feed off of this home crowd and win this game comfortably. Take the Ducks to cover the spread in a Friday night showdown between two Pac-12 teams.
Final California-Oregon Pick: Oregon -13.5
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