The LSU Tigers are set to face the Kansas State Wildcats Tuesday in the Texas Bowl. With that said, it’s a good time to check out our college football odds series, which includes our LSU-Kansas State Texas Bowl prediction, odds, and pick we have laid out below.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here’s the LSU-Kansas State Texas Bowl odds:
College Football odds: LSU-Kansas State Texas Bowl Odds
LSU: +3.5 (-110)
Kansas State: -3.5 (-110)
Over: 47.5 (-110)
Under: 47.5 (-110)
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Why LSU Could Cover the Spread
The LSU Tigers have had a subpar season going 6-6, rankling 6th in the SEC – West division. They won their last two games of the season, posting 27 points in both victories however. They will look to bring that momentum into their matchup in the Texas Bowl against the Wildcats.
Quarterback Max Johnson finished this season with 2.815 passing yards and 27 touchdown passes. Johnson has entered the transfer portal after the regular season so he will not be playing in this game. Running back Tyrion Davis-Price finished with 1,003 rushing yards and six touchdowns on the ground. This Tiger team is not as talented as the last few years, but they still play very hard and can hang with good teams.
LSU lost to Alabama by just a touchdown back in November on the road. Offensively, the Tigers average 26.5 points and 379.8 yards per game. They rank 27th in the nation in pass play percentage (53.62%) and 28th in passes per game (35.9).
Defensively, LSU has improved from the beginning of their season. Over their last five games, opponents have averaged just 14.4 points per game. Opponents are averaging 27 points and 394.7 yards per game against the Tigers. They are giving up 137.3 yards per game on the ground and 234.9 yards through the air. Damone Clark leads the way with an SEC-best 135 tackles on the year, including 15.5 for losses. The Tigers are pretty successful in Bowl games, as they are 5-1 against the spread in their last six Bowl games. They are 6-0 against the spread in their last six versus Big-12 opponents.
Why Kansas State Could Cover the Spread
The Kansas State Wildcats got off to a nice three-game win streak to start the season before dropping the next three after. They finished their 2021 campaign with a 7-5 record and 5th in the Big-12.
The Wildcats were just given word that ex-Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez is transferring to KSU as a graduate transfer. This will be a nice transition after current quarterback Skylar Thompson leaves for the NFL draft. Thompson finished his senior year throwing for 1,854 passing yards and nine touchdowns, with a 69% completion percentage.
Running back Deuce Vaughn leads the ground attack with 1,258 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns. Kansas State averages 25.6 points and 353.6 yards per game. They have the 9th highest fourth down conversion rate in the nation (70.59%).
On defense, Felix Anudike-Uzomah anchors the pass rush for the Wildcats. He enters the Bowl game ranked first in the nation in forced fumbles (6), while he is 9th in the nation and 2nd in the Big 12 in sacks (11.0). Kansas State is allowing 20.9 points and 354.5 yards per game to opponents. They are 3-1-1 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite.
Final LSU-Kansas State Prediction Texas Bowl & Pick
The Tigers have had a down year in terms of expectations, but have had a difficult schedule the last two months and have gone toe to toe with a majority of these elite opponents. The Wildcats finished the season with back-to-back losses and have struggled in their biggest games of the year. I will take the free field goal with the Tigers to complete this year's Bowl season on January 4th.
Final Texas Bowl Prediction & Pick: LSU Tigers +3.5 (-110)
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