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MLB odds: Cardinals vs. Brewers prediction, odds, pick, and more – 9/20/2021

mlb, odds, pick, betting, prediction, Cardinals, Brewers

The Cardinals will travel to Milwaukee to face the Brewers in a four-game series in this NL Central showdown. St. Louis is one of the hottest teams in baseball, having lost their last game on September 10th, going 9-1 over this ten-game span. The Cardinals hold the second wildcard spot in the National League, three games ahead of the Reds. As for Milwaukee, the Brewers are 42-32 on their home turf and have clinched the NL Central by a wide margin. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Cardinals-Brewers prediction & pick.

Here’s how the bookmakers have set the odds:

MLB Odds: Cardinals-Brewers Odds

Cardinals: +182
Brewers: -198
Over: 8 (-107)
Under: 8 (-113)

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Why the Cardinals Could Win

The St. Louis bats have been scorching hot over the last two weeks. Over the previous ten games, the Cardinals have a .260 batting average and have outscored opponents by 26 runs. Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado lead the Cardinals offense. Goldschmidt has a team-high .285 batting average with 25 home runs and 84 RBIs. Arenado is hitting .254 with a team-high 31 home runs and 97 RBIs. They have scored 19 runs over their last three games and 4+ runs in five of their previous six games.

The Cardinals starter for tonight is Jon Lester. He makes his 26th start of the season overall and his tenth with the Cardinals after being acquired at the trade deadline. He has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 4.67. He was magnificent in his last outing against the New York Mets, finishing with two earned runs, seven strikeouts, and no walks over six innings. The Cardinals are 14-5 in their last 19 road games and 4-0 in their last four games as an underdog.

Why the Brewers Could Win

Milwaukee’s offense has been just as impressive as the Cardinals offense. The Brewers have scored 18 runs in their last three games and 4+ in seven of their last ten games. They have won eight of their last nine games when scoring four or more runs. Avisail Garcia leads the Brewers in hits (116) and RBI (82), while Luis Urias and Kolten Wong have combined for 227 hits and 117 RBI. Freddy Peralta gets the start tonight against their NL Central rival, in which he is 2-2 with a 5.91 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Cardinals.

The strength of Milwaukee is their starting pitching, as their rotation features three of the best arms in the MLB. This season, Peralta has pitched very well for the Cardinals. He has a record of 9-4 with a 2.57 ERA and 181 strikeouts. In his last start, Peralta pitched six shutout innings with nine strikeouts and zero walks. At home, the Brewers are 91-58 and 4-1 in their last five at Minute Maid Park.

Final Cardinals-Brewers Prediction & Pick

While the Brewers have an 11.5 game lead in the division with just thirteen games left to play, St. Louis is still battling for that top wildcard spot. They need to keep winning to secure that spot. Given how well they’ve been playing, the Cardinals shouldn’t be as high as +182 on the money line either. Therefore, I would take a shot here with the value on the Cardinals line and back them in the opener on Monday night.

Final Cardinals-Brewers Prediction & Pick: Cardinals Moneyline