The Los Angeles Dodgers will head to The Big Apple to take on the New York Mets in the first game of their three-game series. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Dodgers-Mets prediction and pick.
Despite some key injuries to both franchises, the two teams are trending in the right direction with only two months left in the regular season. The dodgers are 69-46 on the year and sit five games behind the Giants for first place in the National League West. Meanwhile, the Mets are in contention to claim back first place in the National League East as they have a 59-55 record and sit just half a game behind the Phillies.
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the Dodgers-Mets Odds.
MLB Odds: Dodgers-Mets Odds
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Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+103)
New York Mets +1.5 (-123)
Over 8.5 runs (-103)
Under 8.5 runs (-117)
Why The Dodgers Could Cover The Spread
The Dodgers are 56-59 against the run line this season. However, they have covered in four of their last five matches.
Los Angeles plans to give left-hander Julio Urias his 24th start of the season. The recently turned 25-year-old is 13-3 on the season and has an ERA of 3.41.
According to winnersandwhiners.com, Urias is limiting opposing hitters to a .229 batting average and is throwing an efficient 71% of his first pitches for strikes.
In his last ten innings pitched, Urias has given up just two earned runs.
All 13 pitches from the at bat that ended with a Cody Bellinger home run
There was 8 minutes and 38 seconds between the first and last pitches. Bellinger fouled off nine pitches pic.twitter.com/IWyztRjGxd
— Jomboy Media (@JomboyMedia) August 12, 2021
The Dodgers lineup after the trade deadline is close to an All-Star team. They lead the league in Runs Created with 605 and are second in the MLB, behind the Astros, for Runs Scored per Game with 5.19.
Individually for the Dodgers, Cody Bellinger is in unbelievable form. For the month of August, the 2019 NL MVP is batting .290 and has hit four home runs in his last five games.
Why The Mets Could Cover The Spread
The Mets are 47-67 against the run line this season, which ranks them second to last in the MLB. However, when they are considered the underdog, they cover 63.4% of the time.
New York plans to start rookie Tylor Megill on the mound. The right-hander is 1-2 in nine starts and has an ERA of 3.20. In his last time out, the 26-year-old gave up four earned runs on five hits over the course of four innings.
Pete called GAME! #LGM #MetsWin pic.twitter.com/6bEkIFS150
— New York Mets (@Mets) August 12, 2021
The Mets' offense has improved since returning from the All-Star break. According to the Action Network, over the past 30 days, New York is posting an above-average wRC+ (104) and wOBA (.320).
Individually Pete Alonso has been the best hitter for the Mets by far. He leads the team in hits, RBI, and home runs. In his last game, he went 3-4 with one double, one RBI, and a walk-off homer.
Final Dodgers-Mets Prediction & Pick
The Dodgers having odds greater than -150 is practically stealing, considering their star-powered lineup and who they plan to start on the mound. Additionally, Los Angeles bats 0.269 against right-handers and will likely take advantage of a rookie pitcher who has struggled in his last two starts.
The only worrisome part about selecting the Dodgers to win is that they are previously just 1-6 in their last 7 during game one of a series.
FINAL DODGERS-METS PREDICTION & PICK: Dodgers ML (-149)
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