The Los Angeles Dodgers will face the Colorado Rockies in an NL West battle. It's time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Dodgers-Rockies prediction and pick.
These teams have had vastly different seasons. The Dodgers, unsurprisingly, have been one of the best teams in the league. They've earned themselves a 45-27 record, a mark that is good enough to lead the hotly contested NL West. Meanwhile, the Rockies are sitting around in the cellar. Colorado is 32-42, and it doesn't look like there's any sort of improvement on the horizon. Regardless of the records at play, this game should be an entertaining one, so let's get straight into the pick.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Dodgers-Rockies MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Dodgers-Rockies Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (-152)
Colorado Rockies: +1.5 (+126)
Over: 11 (-110)
Under: 11 (-110)
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Why The Dodgers Could Cover the Spread
Another day, another elite pitcher on the mound for the Dodgers. This time it's longtime star Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw has been nothing short of spectacular this season, earning himself a 2.00 ERA and a .91 WHIP on the year. Those numbers are reminiscent of his Cy Young Award days, and Kershaw is unlikely to slow down in this one. He hasn't had a bad outing since he faced the Atlanta Braves in mid-April, and it seems unlikely that the Rockies are the team to finally slow him down.
Colorado will count on pitcher Kyle Freeland in this contest. Freeland hasn't been terrible this season, but the Dodgers seem to have his number. There are seven hitters in the Los Angeles lineup that own a career batting average of .250 or higher against Freeland, and the last time he faced the Dodgers things didn't go well. Freeland was rocked for five runs over just 3.2 innings, one of his worst outings all season. It wouldn't be a surprise to see the Dodgers continue their success against Freeland in this game.
Why The Rockies Could Cover the Spread
While it's true that the Dodgers hit Freeland well, there's reason to believe the lefty can pitch well here. Freeland has significantly improved in his last seven starts, lowering his ERA from 4.29 to 3.77 and his WHIP from 1.37 to 1.19. That improvement didn't come against easy opponents either, as Freeland faced the Atlanta Braves, the San Francisco Giants, and the San Diego Padres twice. The Dodgers also hit left-handed pitching worse than they do right-handed pitching, as they earn a lower batting average, OBP, OPS, and slugging percentage against southpaws.
Coors Field will provide the Rockies with a big advantage. Colorado sees a massive uptick in offensive production when they play at home, as their batting average jumps from .238 to .281, while all of their other major batting stats like OBP, OPS, and slugging percentage see similar increases. The Rockies have actually gone 20-19 at home, which is shocking considering how poor their overall record is. Colorado is clearly a much better team when they play in front of their home fans, and that will show in this game against their division rivals.
Final Dodgers-Rockies Prediction & Pick
There's actually a lot of good options to pick from here. The Dodgers look like a decent pick, but their overall line makes them a little unappealing. Instead, the under is the easy selection. Kershaw has been great, which means Freeland just has to be anything but awful for the under to cash. He's certainly capable of that, so the under becomes the pick.
Final Dodgers-Rockies Prediction & Pick: Under 11: (-110)
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