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MLB Odds: Marlins vs. Mets prediction, odds and pick – 6/18/2022

Marlins Mets prediction

After a long week, the weekend is finally here! On this Saturday before Father’s Day, the Miami Marlins will face off with their divisional rivals once again in the New York Mets at Citi Field. Join us for our MLB odds series, where our Marlins-Mets prediction and pick will be made.

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After things got out of hand in a big way on Friday in the 10-4 defeat, the Marlins now sit at 28-34 and will look to bounce back in game two of the series. Tasked with getting Miami back on track will be the 24-year-old Braxton Garrett, who is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA in just two lone starts on the season.

New York certainly set the tone to begin this series, and they will look to continue to ride the wave of momentum this afternoon. Following Carrasco’s strong start 24 hours ago will be RHP Taijuan Walker with his 4-2 record and 3.08 ERA.

Here are the Marlins-Mets MLB odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

MLB Odds: Marlins-Mets Odds

Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-142)

New York Mets: -1.5 (+116)

Over: 7.5 (-120)

Under: 7.5 (-102)

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Why The Marlins Could Cover the Spread

Right out of the gate, it appeared from the very first pitch of the game that the Marlins would have a difficult time overcoming the hot bats of the Mets. Quickly going down 3-0 in the first inning, Miami was playing catch-up the entirety of the evening and they ultimately could not overcome a slew of mistakes that prevented them from securing a victory. Miami has struggled away from home in 2022 with a 13-20 overall record. The Marlins know that they have to play better against a tough squad like the Mets, as not much went right for the visitors on Friday.

Although few bettors from around the country may be hesitant to put their faith in the Marlins this afternoon, they still could string together a productive nine innings of play in numerous facets of their game. For starters, Miami has to get off to a faster start on Saturday. Without question, the Mets possess one of the deadlier lineups that this sport has to offer, so the Marlins must have a short memory and be ready to answer New York if an onslaught of offense hits them square in the jaw. With only five runs in their last two games played, the 15th best bunch in scoring runs among MLB teams has to show up in a big way.

Not to mention, but the fish will be sending out a lesser experienced hurler in Braxton Garrett. Garrett may be very talented, but he is in for the biggest test of his young career. If the young flamethrower can survive into at least the fifth or sixth inning, then the chances of Miami covering the spread should increase exponentially.

Why The Mets Could Cover the Spread

The Yankees may have the best roster in all of baseball, but let’s not ignore what their neighbors in the Mets have been able to accomplish in 2022 through their first 66 games played. As previously mentioned, this Mets crew sure can hit.

Prior to the opening contest of this series, the Marlins entered play with the highest ERA among bullpens in the league. This should be music to New York’s ears, as this was definitely the case in yesterday’s matchup when they tormented Miami’s arms in the later stages of the ballgame. A similar recipe for success in getting to Garrett in the early going will force the bullpen to rear its ugly head, which is something that Miami would probably like to avoid all together.

Yes, this offense is locked and loaded, but what does that make this Mets pitching staff? The arms on this roster can be just as lethal when on the diamond, as they have compiled a 3.87 ERA as a team and have a knack for making opposing hitters go down swinging. Pitching depth has not been an issue for the Mets all year long, as they have enough talent to plug someone in and be just fine in the long run.

Taijuan Walker sure does have some filthy movement on his breaking pitches and some sneaky speed with his fastball, as that should be on display. Fortunately for Walker, he does not even need to be perfect on Saturday for the Mets to cover the spread, as New York’s loaded lineup lessens the pressure felt on whoever gets the starting nod for that day. Regardless, Walker is enjoying a spectacular season and is deservingly one of the top options within the New York starting staff.

Final Marlins-Mets Prediction & Pick

Miami is not playing their best ball of the season while New York may just now be scratching the surface of their potential. Garrett will show his inexperience in this one, as the highest-scoring team in baseball will take advantage of some mistake pitches early and often in this one.

Final Marlins-Mets Prediction & Pick: Mets -1.5 (+116)