The Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees will close out a three game series on Thursday afternoon. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Yankees-Mariners prediction and pick.
New York will look to complete the sweep and win their fourth-straight game in the series finale. They destroyed Seattle by 11 runs in the opener and followed it up with a tight 5-4 victory on Wednesday night. The Yankees are looking to make a steep climb back to relevance and a sweep in Seattle would be a great place to start.
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the opening Yankees-Mariners odds.
MLB Odds: Yankees-Mariners Odds
New York Yankees -1.5 (+110)
Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-130)
Over 8.5 Runs (+100)
Under 8.5 Runs (-120)
Why The Yankees Could Cover The Spread
The New York Yankees disastrous season continues as they are now 44-41 on the season and 8.5 games back of the Red Sox in the AL East. New York has played well of late however with three-straight wins and will look to build on their six-game winning streak against the Mariners. The Yankees are just 3.5 games back of the second wildcard spot and can gain more ground hopefully as Oakland has a tough test against the Astros on Thursday.
The Yankees offense has been steadily improving over the past few weeks and they now average 4.21 runs per game, which is 19th in the Majors. Their pitching staff has carried them this far, but a plethora of injuries explains their regression in that area. The Yankees are missing three key starting pitchers and two backend bullpen arms. Aaron Judge has been the anchor for New York as he leads the club in almost all statistical categories.
New York will turn to left-hander Jordan Montgomery as they look to complete the sweep. Montgomery is 3-3 with a 4.17 ERA through 16 starts this season. The southpaw's control has been sharp and despite the recent losses, Montgomery hasn't served up more than three earned runs in each of his last three starts.
Why The Mariners Could Cover The Spread
The Seattle Mariners have been one of the most surprising teams in the league this season. They are 45-42 entering play and tied with the Yankees in the wildcard standings. Seattle is playing for the second wildcard spot at this point and salvaging this series will be crucial. The Mariners have been a much better team at home as they're seven games above .500 at T-Mobile Park.
Seattle is in a unique position as they are currently three games over .500 despite their -0.64 average run differential. Their offense has been wildly inconsistent and ranks 25th in runs per game this season. They've averaged less than four runs per game at home, which makes it hard to explain why they are actually seven games above .500. Despite the questions we may have, the Mariners are 13-7 over their last 20 games.
The Mariners will hand the ball to right-hander Logan Gilbert as they look to salvage the series. Gilbert has been solid through his first nine starts with a 2-2 record and 4.10 ERA. Following a rough start to the season, Gilbert has been impressive with a 3.09 ERA through his last seven starts to date. He is coming off of a solid two-run outing over 5.2 innings of work against Texas in his last start.
Final Yankees-Mariners Prediction & Pick
Although I like the Yankees chances to pull of the sweep, I'm confident that Seattle will put together a solid showing with their rookie starter on the bump. The Mariners have won seven-straight games that Gilbert has starters and are seven games above .500 at homer. The Yankees, on the other hand, have lost two-straight games that Montgomery has started. The Mariners money-line is a good value play here, but let's take the run that's being given to us with solid value as well.
FINAL YANKEES-MARINERS PREDICTION AND PICK: Seattle Mariners +1.5 (-130)
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