Argentina played four games in 2024 as part of the International Friendlies leading up to the Copa America tournament. They have been spotless, winning four games by a combined score of 11-2. Canada’s form hasn’t been as good, with a 1-1-1 record in 2024, including a loss and a tie in June. Canada didn’t take it easy going into the tournament, taking on Netherlands and France in those two friendly matches. It is time to continue our Copa America odds series with an Argentina-Canada prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.

Argentina has been the best country in international soccer since losing to Saudi Arabia in the 2022 World Cup. After losing the opening game of that tournament, Argentina won six consecutive games, finishing the journey with a penalty kick victory over France in the final. The Argentinians sent Lionel Messi into World Cup retirement with his first-ever title, as one of soccer’s greatest players said the Qatar World Cup would be his last. However, he isn’t ready to call it quits yet, as he will be playing in the Copa America, which is likely his final significant international competition.

Canada has lost some steam after their dramatic qualification for the 2022 World Cup. The tournament didn’t go as planned for Canada, and they’ve lost big games in the Concacaf Gold Cup and Concacaf Nations League since their elimination in Qatar. Canada won’t have to go through the dramatics of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup, as they’re co-hosting the tournament with the United States and Mexico. The Copa America will be a good chance for the Canadian team to get back on track.

Here are the 2024 Copa America odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

2024 Copa America Odds: Argentina-Canada Odds

Argentina: -350

Canada: +440

Draw: +900

Over 2.5 goals: -144

Under 2.5 goals: +118

How to Watch Argentina vs. Canada

Time: 8 PM ET/5 PM PT

TV: FS1, TSN

Stream: (Click Here for Free Trial)

Why Argentina Will Win

Argentina’s reasons to win are clear. They lost one match in their last 20, a qualifying game against Uruguay. Argentina has run over teams that are better than Canada on this path, and they could be highly motivated to win the Copa America. If this is Messi’s last tournament they’ll want to send him off on a winning note, and they could become just the second nation ever to win three consecutive major titles after winning the 2021 Copa America and 2022 World Cup.

Why Canada Will Win

Canada has some crucial players in their squad, including Alphonso Davies, one of the best full-backs in the world, and Jonathan David, one of the top goal-scorers in Ligue 1. The Canadians used these players and other unsung heroes to qualify for the 2022 World Cup. However, once they got to the big stage, they realized the difficulties of playing some of the better teams in the world for an entire tournament.

Canada will be prepared better in Copa America, but this opening-round matchup with Argentina is a difficult draw. Canada could make some noise against Peru and Chile and advance to the knockout stage, but they’ll need heroic performances to get past Argentina. Their most significant reason to believe is Argentina’s propensity to start the bigger tournaments on the wrong foot, as we saw in the 2022 World Cup against Saudi Arabia.

Final Argentina-Canada Prediction & Pick

Argentina’s odds are astronomical to win this game since most expect them to dominate the group stage. Their odds of -350 are too juiced for a team that lost their World Cup opener to Saudi Arabia. The better value in this matchup is on the over, as Argentina could cover this number themselves, but Canada can also contribute a goal or two. Jonathan David and Alphonso Davies are more than capable of combining on a goal against the Argentinians.

Click here for more betting news & predictions

Final Argentina-Canada Prediction & Pick: Over 2.5 goals (-144)