The Houston Cougars are set to face the Cincinnati Bearcats this weekend. With that said, it’s a good time to check out our college football odds series, which includes our Houston-Cincinnati prediction and pick we have laid out below.

Courtesy of FanDuel, here’s the Houston-Cincinnati AAC Championship game odds:

College Football odds: Houston-Cincinnati Odds

Houston: +10.5 (-110)

Cincinnati: -10.5 (-110)

Over: 52.5 (-105)

Under: 52.5 (-115)

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Why Houston Could Cover the Spread

The Houston Cougars have not lost since their home opener against Texas Tech. Since then, the offense has scored 28 or more points in every game. They are coming off a 45-17 win against UConn on the road and will face #4 ranked Cincinnati on Saturday in the AAC Championship. Over their last five games, the Cougars are averaging 42.2 points. On the season, Houston ranks 9th in the nation in points per game (38.2). The Cougars are converting in the red zone 91.43% of the time. They face a Bearcat defense that ranks 3rd in the opponent's red zone scoring percentage (66.67%), so they must score when given the opportunity to cover the large spread.

Defensively, the Cougars have given up just 13 points over their last three games. The defense ranks 7th in opponent yards per game (307.5) and 10th in sack percentage (9.87%). They will look to hold the championship trophy for the first time since the first conference title game back in 2015. In their last seven conference games, the Cougars are 5-2 against the spread.

Why Cincinnati Could Cover the Spread

The Cincinnati Bearcats are a perfect 12-0 and rank 4th in the nation. They have been steamrolling teams by dominating on both sides of the ball. In their most recent game at ECU, the Bearcats won by a score of 35-13. They totaled 444 yards of offense, including 301 through the air. The Cincinnati defense forced two turnovers and held the Pirates to 54 rushing yards. The Bearcat offense ranks 6th in points per game (39.4), 5th in yards per play (6.7), and 2nd in 4th down conversion percentage (78.57%).

Defensively, Cincinnati leads the nation in takeaways per game (2.4). The defense has improved from last season and is a primary reason the Bearcats have been so victorious. They allow just 16.5 points per game to opponents (5th) and 4.2 yards per play to opponents (4th). A solid defensive performance would help Cincy make a case to the playoff committee. The Bearcats are 8-3 against the spread in their last eleven home games.

Final Houston-Cincinnati Prediction & Pick

This AAC Championship may be the game of the day. Both teams with outstanding records and solid defenses battle for the trophy. The low total suggests that it will be a very physical, hard-fought game. However, I have to give the edge to Cincinnati for a few reasons: The defense is one of the top in the country. They need a dominant win to make a case for the CFB Playoffs. And they will be home where they have won by an average margin of 32.7 points this season. Back the Bearcats in what should be an exhilarating game to watch on Saturday afternoon.

Final Houston-Cincinnati Prediction & Pick: Cincinnati -10.5 (-110)