Mitch Keller takes to the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates as they finish their series with the Cincinnati Reds. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Reds-Pirates prediction and pick.

Reds-Pirates Projected Starters 

Hunter Greene vs. Mitch Keller

Hunter Greene (5-2) with a 3.61 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

Last Start: Greene won his fifth game of the year last time out. He went five innings, giving up three hits and five walks. Greene gave up a home run and two runs overall, taking the win over the Brewers.

2024 Road Splits: Greene has been better on the road than at home this year. He is 3-0 in six starts. He has a 3.06 ERA and opponents are hitting just .163 against Greene on the road.

Mitch Keller (8-4) with a 3.36 ERA and 1.25 WHIP.

Last Start: Keller saw his six-game winning streak broken last time out. He went six innings with eight hits and two home runs against the Cardinals. Keller gave up four runs, and the Pirates lost 4-3 to the Cardinals

2024 Home Splits: Keller has been solid at home this year. In six starts he is 4-1 with a 2.79 ERA and an opponent batting average of just .236.

Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

MLB Odds: Reds-Pirates Odds

Cincinnati Reds: -1.5 (+164)

Moneyline: -102

Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 (-200)

Moneyline: -116

Over: 8 (-105)

Under: 8 (-115)

How to Watch Reds vs. Pirates

Time: 12:35 PM ET/ 9:35 AM PT

TV: BSOH/SNP

Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)

Why The Reds Will Cover The Spread/Win

The Reds are 16th in the majors in runs scored while sitting 27th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage, and 19th in slugging. They are led by Elly De La Cruz. De La Cruz is hitting .242 on the year with a .340 on-base percentage. He has 12 doubles, three triples, and 12 home runs. This has led to 31 RBIs. De La Cruz has also stolen 37 bases and scored 47 times. Spencer Steer leads the team in RBIs this year. He is hitting .240 on the year with a .333 on-base percentage. He has eight home runs and 43 RBIs while scoring 32 times. Rounding out the top bats of the year with Jeimer Candelario. He is hitting .252 this year to lead the team. He has 12 home runs and 35 RBIs while scoring 27 times this season.

Candelario is also hitting well in the last week. He is hitting .417 over the last week with three home runs and three doubles. This has led to a team-leading nine RBIs over the last six games. Scoring a lot is Elly De La Cruz. He has hit .333 in the last week but has been getting on base at a .462 rate. He has a home run and two RBIs while stealing three bases and scoring six times. Also scoringwell is TJ Friedl. He is hitting just .200 but with a home run and two RBIs plus four runs scored.

Current members of the Reds have 74 career at-bats against Mitch Keller. They are hitting .130 against him with a home run and five RBIs. Spencer Steer has been solid against Keller. He is four for seven with a double, a home run, an RBI, and two walks. Jonathan India is also having success against Keller. He is five for 12 with five walks against Keller.

Why The Pirates Will Cover The Spread/Win

The Pirates are 22nd in the majors in runs scored, while sitting 22nd in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging. Bryan Reynolds leads the way. He is hitting .271 on the year with a .336 on-base percentage. He has nine home runs and 39 RBIs this year while scoring 29 times. Oneil Curz is also hitting well this year. He is hitting .251 with nine home runs and 30 RBIs. Cruz has scored 31 times as well. Andrew McCutchen is proving ageless this year. He is hitting .244 on the year with a team-leading ten home runs. He has 22 RBIs and 38 runs scored on the year.

Bryan Reynolds has been solid in the last week as well. He is hitting .345 with a .387 on-base percentage. He has four doubles, a triple, and a home run while driving in four RBIs and scoring four times. Oneil Cruz is also hitting well. He is hitting .300 in the last week with five RBIs and three runs scored. Rounding out the hottest bats is Rowdy Tellez. He is hitting .389 this past week with two RBIs.

Members of the Pirates have 55 at-bats all-time against Hunter Greene. They are hitting .255 against him with a home run and two RBIs. The home run comes from Oneil Cruz. He is two for five with a double and a home run against Greene. The most experience against Greene comes from Jack Suwinski. He is 0-8 with three walks.

Final Reds-Pirates Prediction & Pick

This is going to be another tight game. Both offensive units can struggle and both pitchers have been solid this year. Mitch Keller was on a hot streak until last time out but he should rebound in this one. Hunter Greene has been better on the road than at home this year. Mitch Keller has been better at home than on the road. This is setting up for a pitching duel. Take the under.

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Final Reds-Pirates Prediction & Pick: Under 8 (-115)