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UFC Vegas 31 odds: Marion Reneau vs. Miesha Tate prediction, odds, and pick

Reneau Tate prediction

The co-main event of UFC Vegas 31 is a highly anticipated bout in the Women’s Bantamweight division. Marion Reneau takes on Miesha Tate, which could steal the fight of the night award. It’s time to continue our UFC odds series with a Reneau-Tate prediction and pick.

Reneau plans to retire after this bout, so she’ll be looking to go out with a bang. She’s currently on a four-fight losing streak, so ending her career on a high note is her ultimate goal. A victory over Miesha Tate would be a great way to end her UFC career.

This is the first time Tate enters the octagon since 2016. She makes a return to the cage after five years of being absent and plans to make some noise in the Women’s Bantamweight division. A victory over Reneau is Tate’s first step in making her comeback to championship status.

Here’s how the sportsbooks have set the odds for the co-main event.

UFC Vegas 31 odds: Marion Reneau-Miesha Tate odds

Marion Reneau (+135)

Miesha Tate (-155)

Over 2.5 rounds (-285)

Under 2.5 rounds (+225)

How Marion Reneau wins the fight

She’s the slight underdog heading into this one, but she’s been fighting much more recently than her opponent. It’s interesting to point out that all of her losses have come by decision, and eight of her nine wins have been either a knockout or submission. Although she has lost four straight bouts, Reneau is still a dangerous fighter that could be tough for Tate.

Tate is a well-rounded fighter, but her strong suit is the ground game. With that in mind, Reneau’s best bet is to keep this fight standing and turn this into a kickboxing match. If Reneau can do that, she’ll put herself in a position to win the final UFC match of her career.

How Miesha Tate wins the fight

Miesha Tate comes back after being gone for five years and many are hopeful she returns to full form. Matching her up with Reneau feels like it’s a bit of a tune-up fight for Tate to help her get back in a groove in the octagon. We’ll see who Tate does in her return, as a win should lead to a bigger matchup in the future.

Tate’s best chance to win on Saturday night is to take this one to the ground. Seven of her 18 career victories have come via submission. The game plan should be to take her opponent down and control the fight with dominant positions on the ground. Don’t be shocked if we see a ton of ground and pound in this matchup with Tate delivering most of the blows.

Reneau-Tate prediction & pick

This fight will either end quickly or go the distance. Tate will likely look for a takedown early and often, while Reneau will try and keep the fight on the feet. It’s an interesting matchup that Tate should win, but due to her five-year hiatus, Reneau could pull out with an upset on Saturday night. However, this is Tate’s fight to lose and she should be able to follow through with her game plan.

FINAL PICK: Miesha Tate wins by unanimous decision.