UFC 303: Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka continues on the prelims with a fight in the heavyweight division between Andrei Arlovski and Martin Buday. Arlovksi comes into his 60th professional fight losing three consecutive for the first time since 2016-2017 meanwhile, Buday suffered his first defeat in the UFC when he lost by TKO in his last fight. With that said, check out our UFC odds series for our Arlovski-Buday prediction and pick.

Andrei Arlovski (34-23) is the longest-tenured heavyweight fighter as he comes into his 42nd fight with the promotion and the 60th fight of his MMA career. He is now coming off of three consecutive losses into this fight with Buday and will be looking to turn back time maybe for one last hoorah when he steps inside the Octagon this weekend at UFC 303.

Martin Buday (13-2) secured his contract with a win on the Contender Series in 2021 and then went on to win each of his first three fights in the UFC. Then he ran into the buzzsaw that is Shamil Gaziev who beat him to a bloody pulp finishing him in the second round. He will be looking to avenge his first UFC loss and potentially end the illustrious career of Andrei Arlovski this weekend at UFC 303.

Here are the UFC 303 Odds, courtesy of BetOnline. 

UFC 303 Odds: Andrei Arlovski-Martin Buday Odds

Andrei Arlovski: +210

Martin Buday: -245

Over 2.5 rounds: -180

Under 2.5 rounds: +150

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Why Andrei Arlovski Will Win

Andrei Arolovski will be stepping up to fight for his 60th professional fight this weekend and 42nd fight with the UFC. He is now on a three-fight losing streak and this could potentially be his last fight inside the Octagon. However, Arlovski even at his age can still compete with the current heavyweights in the UFC and he will be looking to prove that and come out on top which could be the last time when he takes on Martin Buday this weekend at UFC 303.

Arlovski is the former UFC heavyweight champion who used to be a beast that would knock out his opponents viciously but as he aged he changed his style of fighting. He fights with a lot less reckless abandonment so that he takes less damage when he fights. Arlovski utilizes his speed and kicks more than he ever had in the past which makes him a hard problem to solve especially for this in the heavyweight division and will give some problems to Buday in this matchup. With Buday, he is a slow and plotting heavyweight who looks to come forward land heavy shots, and use his size in the clinch. For Arlovski, he can live on the outside peppering Buday with kicks and punches while using his speed and movement to stay on the outside. By doing this, Arlovski can outstrike Buday and get back on track before calling it a career.

Why Martin Buday Will Win

Martin Buday secured his UFC contract with a win on the Contender Series back in 2021 and then won each of his first three fights inside the Octagon before suffering his first defeat in his most recent TKO loss to Shamil Gaziev. He will be looking to put his first UFC loss behind him when he takes on one of the legends in the UFC Andrei Arlovski this weekend at UFC 303.

Buday isn’t going to beat his opponents based on his athleticism, his speed, or his ability to outstrike his opponents. He will use his size to overwhelm his opponents in the clinch and in the grappling. His ability to control his opponents against the cage while using short shots in the clinch will be his keys to success against Arlovski who he will have size against in this matchup. As long as Buday can navigate the kicks and the speed of Arlovski and get on the inside and into the clinch he can control Arlovski for the vast majority of this fight and get back into the win column.

Final Andrei Arlovski-Martin Buday Prediction & Pick

This could be all she wrote for the career of Andrei Arlovski and he will be looking to go out on top when he takes on Martin Buday in this weekend’s matchup. While size and youth are not on Arlovski’s side, these are the types of matchups that make Arlovski look good. Ultimately, Arlovski’s speed and output are going to be too much for Buday to keep up with as he is peppered with shots from the outside as Arlovski outstrikes him to a decision victory and then rides off into the sunset.

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Final Andrei Arlovski-Martin Buday Prediction & Pick: Andrei Arlovski (+210), Over 2.5 Rounds (-180)