After Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves overpowered the Mets on Monday by a score of 5-2, the two division rivals will play twice on Tuesday, with a thrilling matchup in the nightcap expected to take place at 6:40 PM ET. Join us for our MLB odds series, where our Braves-Mets prediction and pick will take place.
At 11-13, the Braves are putting in the work to grind their way back to .500, as Atlanta stymied the Mets yesterday. Looking to finish them off this evening will be RHP Kyle Wright, who has been nearly flawless to begin 2022 with his 3-0 record and 1.13 ERA in his four starts combined.
Getting the nod for New York will be no other than the Denver native in southpaw David Peterson, who in three appearances (two starts) has only allowed a singular run in 14 innings tossed.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Braves-Mets MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Braves-Mets Odds
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+134)
New York Mets: +1.5 (-162)
Over: 7.5 (-114)
Under: 7.5 (-106)
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Why The Braves Could Cover the Spread
The Braves could cover the spread in this one simply by copying their formula to success that they experienced last night in a decisive 5-2 victory. Atlanta showed that even with New York storming out of the gate in 2022, the defending champs reminded the baseball world that they didn't win those rings from last year by accident. Atlanta pitched a gem, as they limited the Mets to five hits and stranded seven New York runners on base throughout the evening.
After going down 2-0 in the early frames, Atlanta cashed in when it mattered most with a run in the 4th, two in the 6th, and two in the eighth to put the Mets away for good.
It was an all-around great performance from the 2021 World Series champs and one that could propel them to victory in the Tuesday doubleheader action.
While the offensive numbers have been average at best, Atlanta sure knows how to send the ball soaring into the sky at Truist Park, as their 29 home runs rank second in all of baseball. This has attributed the Braves with a .403 slugging percentage, which is the seventh-highest mark in the league. Even though they are only hitting .220 on the season, this is a bunch that can after a pitcher by putting up crooked numbers on them in a heartbeat.
After crushing 33 long balls into the seats in 2021, third-baseman Austin Riley is determined to have a repeat at the plate from a year ago. So far, he has delivered. Riley currently leads the team with a .284 average, seven home runs, and 14 RBIs.
Why The Mets Could Cover the Spread
Winners of their first seven series to open up the season, the longest such streak in Mets' history and the third-longest in the NL since 1977, the 2022 Mets should show resiliency out on the diamond in the third of May. While it is to be determined whether their winning ways return on Tuesday, chances are high that the 16-8 New York Mets can have a rebound performance in front of their home fans at Citi Field.
The Mets surprisingly struggled at the plate on Monday, as the two runs scored against the Braves was their least amount in nearly two and a half weeks when they were defeated by the Diamondbacks on Apr. 16th 3-2. This stat alone shows the Mets and their dominance with the bats in their hands up to this point, as New York leads multiple categories when it comes to the offensive statistics. Through 24 games, there haven't been many other teams that have shown such lethal firepower at the dish, as the Mets lead all of major league baseball with 110 runs and have the best on-base percentage with a .339 mark. Not to mention, New York is clubbing a .257 average, which only trails the Colorado Rockies for the top spot in baseball.
While teams like the Rockies and Guardians support lofty team-hitting averages, the Mets differentiate themselves from the rest with their ability to pitch from the rubber just as effectively. New York is limiting opposing squads under the infamous “Mendoza Line”, which is the .200 batting average mark in the majors. At .198, the Mets' capability to silence bats may be the biggest reason why they find themselves in the driver's seat during the first month of the season. Additionally, the Mets have had their starters pitch nine quality starts.
If there is anything that the Mets can be confident heading into the second game of Tuesday's doubleheader, it is that pitcher Kyle Wright is more likely than not going to pitch a gem. In his small sample size of four starts in 2022, Wright has fanned at least six batters in each, including 19 in his previous 13 innings pitched.
Final Braves-Mets Prediction & Pick
The Mets have yet to falter a series after losing the opening game, and few should start doubting them now. Even with Wright's dominance during 2022, he has yet to face a team with as electric of bats like the Mets. New York should cover the +1.5 spread in the nightcap at Citi Field.
Final Braves-Mets Prediction & Pick: Mets +1.5 (-115)
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