Brazil is trying to bounce back from a disappointing 0-0 draw with Costa Rica in their tournament opening game. The odds of a draw in that game rose to +1100 before close. The Brazilians needed to win the first two games to set up a matchup with Colombia for first in the group in the final match. However, now they are looking to keep in contention with a victory. A Colombia win in their match with Costa Rica and a Brazil win here will create a must-win scenario for Brazil to get the top spot. It’s also a must-win situation for Paraguay, as they are the only team in the group without a point after losing to Colombia. It is time to continue our Copa America odds series with a Paraguay-Brazil prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.

Brazil’s draw with Costa Rica was surprising, but their form entering the tournament shows they may have more issues coming. Brazil was just 2-3-3 since October after games with nations like the United States, Mexico, Spain, England, Argentina, Colombia, and Uruguay. Brazil hoped that the schedule would prepare them well for the tournament, but it didn’t pay off in their opening game.

Paraguay hoped to improve on their quarterfinal finish in the last Copa America, but it didn’t start well after their loss to Colombia. It isn’t an easy group or schedule for Paraguay, as they could be out of the tournament quickly with a second loss to Brazil.

Here are the 2024 Copa America odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

2024 Copa America Odds: Paraguay-Brazil Odds

Paraguay: +750

Brazil: -300

Draw: +400

Over 2.5 goals: -130

Under 2.5 goals: +100

How to Watch Paraguay vs. Brazil

Time: 9 PM ET/6 PM PT

TV: FS1, TSN

Stream: (Click Here for Free Trial)

Why Paraguay Will Win

Were Brazil victims of bad luck against Costa Rica or is the absence of Neymar Jr that big of a deal? Brazil had no finish on their chances in game one, and it feels like Neymar would have connected on at least one of the 19 attempts if he had been in the lineup. Paraguay’s defense may not be as good as Costa Rica’s, but they could give Brazil some trouble again in this matchup.

Why Brazil Will Win

Brazil’s result against Costa Rica will make people weary of backing the historic soccer nation, but nobody should count them out yet. Brazil dominated possession against Costa Rica, owning the ball for 74% of the game and firing 19 shot attempts at the net. The biggest concern for Brazil is that only three of those shots found the target, and none were particularly challenging for the Costa Rican goalkeeper.

It feels like Brazil won’t make that same mistake twice, and Paraguay could be the victim of an angry Brazil squad in this matchup.

Final Paraguay-Brazil Prediction & Pick

Brazil had 19 shot attempts against a great Costa Rica defense but couldn’t find the back of the net. There shouldn’t be any doubt that the Brazilians will find a way to win this game, and the odds reflect it. The best bet to target in this game is the over, as Brazil will try to make up for their lack of scoring in game one with an offensive outburst here. They also could have their goal differential on their minds if Costa Rica upsets Colombia and ends up tied with Brazil at the top. Brazil could be facing a situation where they don’t advance to the group stage in the unlikely scenario that Costa Rica beats Colombia, then Colombia beats Brazil.

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Final Paraguay-Brazil Prediction & Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-130)