The Atlanta Braves will host the New York Mets for the first of a three-game set at Truist Park on Tuesday night. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Mets-Braves prediction and pick.
These clubs get another crack at it after splitting a four-game series just last week. New York will be looking to get back on track after losing a makeup game against the Nationals on Monday and three of their last four games to date. Atlanta split a four-game set with the Reds over the weekend and will be aiming to gain some ground on the Mets in the NL East.
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the opening Mets-Braves odds.
MLB Odds: Mets-Braves Odds
New York Mets +1.5 (-135)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+115)
Over 9 Runs (+100)
Under 9 Runs (-120)
Why The Mets Could Cover The Spread
The New York Mets will continue their current seven-game road trip that kicked off in Washington on Monday. New York went 4-4 during their recent eight-game home stand and will have to use this road trip as an opportunity to gain ground on some divisional opponents like the Braves. The struggles for the Mets have mostly come on the road as they are 16-23 away from Citi Field this season.
This Mets club is a tale of two stories as they have the worst offense and the best pitching staff in all of baseball. They average 3.59 runs scored and allow 3.39 runs per game this season. The reason that they're not winning on the road is their 4.49 runs per game allowed in away games is a far cry compared to how well they've pitched at home. The Mets are 1-4 in their last five road games and it'll be up to the starting pitching to get this club back on track.
New York will turn to right-hander Tylor MeGill for the series opener. MeGill will be making his second start of the season. He allowed two runs on three hits in 4.2 innings of work in his Major League debut against this Braves team. The rookie right-hander posted a 3.35 ERA in the Minor Leagues before the call-up.
Why The Braves Could Cover The Spread
The Atlanta Braves could really use a successful series here as they're five games back of the first-place Mets. They are currently three games under .500 at 37-40, which is not even close to where they hoped to be at this point. The Braves won two of their last three games against the Reds and will look to carry that momentum into this series against a struggling Mets club.
Atlanta is currently averaging 4.57 runs per game, which is good for 11th in the Majors. They have seen some promising at-bats from reigning MVP Freddie Freeman, who has nine hits over his last five games. Freeman has 17 home runs on the season and the Braves will need him to sustain this success if they are going to turn things around. The pitching staff hasn't done them many favors as their 4.30 team ERA is 19th in the league.
The Braves will turn to right-hander Charlie Morton for the series opener. Morton was incredible in his most recent start against the Mets with seven shutout innings in the win. He improved his record to 7-3 with back-to-back scoreless starts. The veteran right-hander enters with a 3.68 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through 80.2 innings of work. Morton has a 2-3 record and 3.12 ERA in 60.2 career innings against the Mets.
Final Mets-Braves Prediction & Pick
This is probably the closest thing to a must-win game for the Atlanta Braves in June. They are up against the division leaders that have struggled at the plate for an extended period of time. They get to face a rookie pitcher making just his second career start and the Braves got a good look at him just last week. Charlie Morton has dominated the Mets this season, holding them to one run on three hits through 13 innings of work. The Braves have the advantage on the bump and at the plate in this series opener making this Mets – Braves prediction a bit easier.
FINAL PICK: Atlanta Braves ML (-166)
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