The Milwaukee Brewers and Houston Astros aren't too familiar with one another, playing just one series since 2019. However, that will change with the new MLB scheduling rules. The Brewers are making their presence known again in the National League Central Division, holding a 26-17 record and a two-game lead over the Cubs. The same isn't true for the Houston Astros, who struggled to start the year with a 19-25 record. It isn't unfixable, though, as no team has run away with the American League West yet, keeping the Astros just five games back. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Brewers-Astros prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.
Bryse Wilson will get the start for Milwaukee, which isn't as good of a thing for the Astros as his record may suggest. Wilson is 2-1 this season, and the Brewers are 2-3 in his starts. He also has five appearances this season as a reliever but has been stretched out to 75+ pitches as a starter over his last four games. Wilson allowed five earned runs over his five starts this season but is the victim of one of the worst run supports in the league. The Brewers are averaging 1.8 runs/game over his five starts.
It's been an up-and-down ride for Verlander since returning from an injury. He had three average outings to begin but then gave up seven earned runs and three home runs to the Yankees over five innings. He cleaned it up in his last start, going seven scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Brewers-Astros Odds
Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 (-162)
Moneyline: +140
Houston Astros: -1.5 (+134)
Moneyline: -166
Over: 8.5 (-105)
Under: 8.5 (-115)
How to Watch Brewers vs. Astros
Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10 PM PT
TV: SCHN, Bally Sports
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Brewers Will Cover The Spread/Win
If the Brewers win this game, Bryse Wilson will be the reason they do it. Wilson hasn't been able to lead the team to success this season, as the Brewers barely score him any runs. The trend may continue against Justin Verlander, but there is some hope that the Astros bullpen will give up some offense. They have a 4.24 ERA as a group, with their control being one area of concern. Poor control and the Brewers averaging 1.6 home runs per game over their last ten is a good recipe for success.
Why The Astros Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Brewers aren't the only hot offense over their last ten games. The Astros are batting .266 and averaging five runs/nine. They don't quite have the same numbers as the Brewers, but they will be able to keep up.
The Brewers have been a poor offense, especially when Wilson's on the mound. The average of 1.8 runs/game should give you all the motivation to back Justin Verlander and the Astros here.
Final Brewers-Astros Prediction & Pick
There won't be much offense in the first half of this game if Wilson and Verlander continue their recent form. It could come down to a battle of the bullpens, which the Brewers win by a small margin. The Astros are favored here thanks to their reputation and Justin Verlander on the mound, but it should be a lot closer to a pick 'em. The Brewers have tremendous value in this game against an Astros team struggling to find their rhythm.
Another good play could be the Under, as there may not be many runs in the first half of the game. However, you could watch the rest of the game holding your breath as the respective bullpens try to avoid getting shelled.
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Final Brewers-Astros Prediction & Pick: Brewers ML (+140)
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