The Ohio Bobcats are set to face the famed Villanova Wildcats on Saturday in what is expected to be a one-sided college basketball game. However, if you're into lines and gambling and picks, you should 100 percent put all your money (fictitious, for entertainment purposes only) on Ohio.

Let's do this.

Disclaimer: Joseph is not a gambling expert. He doesn't work for the Action Network. He isn't sponsored by My Bookie. His year-to-date is 0-0. Moreover, Joseph stans for Jeff Boals. It is likely, though not confirmed through reporting, he has a picture of Jeff Boals hanging over his bed next to an image of Jameel Warney playing basketball in Korea.

PS Disclaimer: Joseph is, again, not a tout, gambling expert, someone you should take advice from (unless you bleeping love money).

Another Postscript Disclaimer: One can even argue Joseph is providing a satirical look at how everyone's favorite basketbloggers, despite never hinting at it before, are all now of a sudden experts on gambling. Even as bonkers, using insanely small samples to make hyperbolic picks. He's silly like that. It's almost like everyone is attempting to get on this possibly soon to be federally legal gambling train.

The Line: Ohio Bobcats plus 18.5 (some have it up to 20), The O/U: 110

KenPom actually has the Villanova Wildcats as 19 point favorites, a half point higher than the line. This gives me the shivers. Given how accurate KenPom tends to be, you're likely thinking it would be insane to choose the 3-0 Ohio Bobcats in this game.

Well… tickle me insane, Batman.

Ohio is winning — to be fair, against eh competition — despite turning it over fairly regularly thanks to efficient shooting of the old roundball. The Bobcats have an eFG percentage of 61.7% and a 3-point percentage of 44.7%. Furthermore, Ohio has a defensive rating of 84.5, allowing only 58.3 points per game.

With Jeff Boals in his first season with the program, it's important to pull a little data from his previous season at Stony Brook. While the AEC isn't considered a high major or anything, it's been a tough league for several years. In the 2018-19 campaign, which was expected to be a bit of a transitional voyage for the Seawolves, Boals continued to help lead a defensively focused team, as Stony Brook had the 14th best defensive rating in the country (93.8).

For the sake of the line, it's more important to focus on the defense since no one in their right mind would argue that the Ohio Bobcats have a similar talent pool to choose from as the Villanova Wildcats.

Coming off a loss to Ohio State, it's safe to assume Villanova will be on high alert. It's fair to also guess Jay Wright will make sure his relatively young team attempts to limit turnovers, puts pressure on a less athletic team, and the normal ‘high major vs. mid major' coaching tropes.

Still, it doesn't change the team's youth. Of the six guys who play over 20 minutes per game for the Wildcats, none are seniors, and only two of the six are juniors. Youth breeds inconsistency, even if wickedly talented, until there's experienced gained.

The Villanova Wildcats are only entering their third game of the season. Experience, friends, has yet to be gained.

To be clear, the Ohio Bobcats are not really more experienced, and are coupled with far less depth. Plus, you know, their inexperience doesn't fit with the narrative I'm trying to build here. Nonetheless, Boals only plays five guys over 20 minutes per game, with only two of those five being seniors. However, they do feature apparent sophomore breakout performers Jason Preston and Ben Vander Plas (real person, I swear it).

Vander Plas' 14.0 points per game appears to be stellar linear development, but it's Preston's growth that will likely end up being the deciding (18.5 points) factor on Saturday.

Preston went from a dude who played a lot of minutes, while doing little in the way of scoring (6.0 points per game), to a guard who is oozing irrational confidence like he just doused himself with Axe body spray. Basically, through three games, everything is coming up Jason Preston. He's not only averaging 18.0 points, but is shooting 54% from the floor and 50% from deep (two attempts per game).

A lot of this is admittedly word vomit, as we're still in the small sample size portion of the 2019-20 college basketball season. Gambling experts would warn against betting on the underdog in this situation, especially given the KenPom data being higher than the line. Still, I'm not gambling expert. Instead, I'm merely a handsome Internet Scribbler who has seen enough Jeff Boals coached games to know he maximizes his talent in nearly every game. This is a bit of a showcase game not only for Boals, but for the Ohio Bobcats. He can — by simply being competitive/not get blown all the way out — let it be known his program is on the uptick.

With that in mind, and please still avoid the over/under, it won't be shocking to see Ohio slow the tempo a bit, looking to keep the game close for as long as humanly possible.

Essentially, you wouldn't be (fictitiously, for entertainment purposes only) betting on the Ohio Bobcats only being 18.4 points worse than the Villanova Wildcats, you'd be wagering on Boals to be smart enough to realize the situation around him.

I think Boals is smart enough to the sound of wagering your mortgage on it. Are you?

Joseph Nardone has been covering basketball for nearly a decade for various outlets in a variety of ways. He currently contributes to Forbes and Clutchpoints. You can follow him on Twitter @JosephNardone. He is NOT a gambling expert.

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