Kyler Murray was NFL’s most accurate deep-ball passer during rookie season
According to John Kinsley of Football Outsiders, he used his own formula to try and figure out who was the most accurate passer in different situations. Passes that were accurate but were dropped or not completed for another reason helped their accuracy percentage.
On the other hand, passes that were caught, but were inaccurate, would hurt a quarterbacks accuracy percentage:
Yes, Kyler Murray, in his rookie season, was the most accurate deep passer in the 2019-20 Deep Ball Project. He was even more accurate than the top-ranked deep passer in 2018, which was Andrew Luck (60.0%). I’m not ready to confirm Murray as the best deep passer since he has one season in him, but he’s off to a tremendous start.
Two quarterbacks from the 2017 draft class fill up the rest of the top three. Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson were both incredible in deep accuracy, and Watson showed incredible improvement in this area, jumping from 18th in 2018 to third in 2019.
Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan also found himself in the top five of deep-ball accuracy. Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield also finds himself in the top five, which comes as a bit of surprise. Even though there were plenty of struggles by Mayfield during the 2019 season, the deep ball wasn’t one of them.
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Gardner Minshew also had a strong season with the deep ball ranking seventh in the NFL.
There are a lot of young guys on the list, so it looks like the NFL is strong hands for many years to come.