The San Diego Padres will finish their three-game series with the Miami Marlins, with both trying to win the series. We're in Miami, sharing our MLB odds series, making a Padres-Marlins prediction and pick while showing you how to watch.
The Marlins defeated the Padres 2-1 on Wednesday after trailing for eight innings. Now, they hope to complete the series victory today. The Padres got on the board first in the third inning when Gary Sanchez blasted a monster shot to deep left-center field. Then, they held the lead heading into the ninth inning. But Josh Hader came into the game to close it out. However, Hader walked Yuli Guriel to start the inning. Guriel got to second base, which put him in a great position to score. Then, Jean Segura clipped a single to left-center field to score the game-tying run. Segura got to third on a nice steak. Finally, Nik Fortes became the hero by clipping a single to right for the walk-off game-winning hit.
The blown save wasted a spectacular effort by Blake Snell, who tossed six shutout innings while allowing three hits and striking out seven and walking three. Likewise, Steven Wilson and Nick Martinez set the door up for Hader. But Hader could not close it out. Meanwhile, Braxton Garrett tossed 5 1/3 innings for the Marlins while allowing one earned run on two hits while striking out seven.
Joe Musgrove will pitch today for the Padres and enters with a 2-2 record with a 5.64 ERA with 31 strikeouts and nine walks. Ultimately, he tossed 6 1/3 innings in a win over the Yankees while allowing one earned run on six hits and striking out six for his best start of the season. Jesus Luzardo will pitch for the Marlins and comes in with a 4-3 record with a 3.67 ERA and 70 strikeouts, and 19 walks. Significantly, he went five innings in a win over the Angels, allowing one earned run on seven hits while striking out seven and walking one.
Here are the Padres-Marlins MLB odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Padres-Marlins Odds
San Diego Padres: -1.5 (+138)
Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-166)
Over: 7.5 (-122)
Under: 7.5 (+100)
How To Watch Padres vs. Marlins
Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10 AM PT
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Why The Padres Could Cover The Spread
The Padres continue to struggle offensively. Now, they hope to put it together. Juan Soto is batting .268 with 10 home runs, 26 RBIs, and 32 runs in 2023. However, he went 0 for 3 yesterday. Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .247 with nine home runs, 19 RBIs, and 21 runs. Unfortunately, he went 0 for 4 yesterday. Xander Bogaerts is batting .256 with seven home runs, 20 RBIs, and 30 runs. Likewise, he went 1 for 3 yesterday. Matt Carpenter is one of the newest weapons in San Diego, batting .184 with four home runs, 24 RBIs, and 12 runs. Therefore, he did not play yesterday. The Padres are 29th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage, 24th in runs, 14th in home runs, and 25th in slugging percentage.
The Padres will cover the spread if they can score some runs early. Then, they need good work from their bullpen, especially if they use someone else to close it out if they have a tight lead.
Why The Marlins Could Cover The Spread
The Marlins are also a team that struggles to score. Thus, they need to pitch well while finding the runs in the right place. Yuli Guriel is batting .289 with three home runs, 12 RBIs, and 12 runs. Likewise, he went 1 for 3 yesterday. Garrett Cooper is hitting .235 with five home runs, 20 RBIs, and 11 runs. However, he did not play yesterday. Luis Arraez is batting .376 with one home run, 20 RBIs, and 19 runs. Additionally, he went 2 for 3 yesterday. Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .301 with seven home runs, 23 RBIs, and 25 runs. Regardless, he went 0 for 3 yesterday. Jorge Soler is batting .250 with 17 home runs, 35 RBIs, and 31 runs. Also, he went 0 for 2 with two strikeouts and two walks. The Marlins left seven runners on base. Now, they come into today's game ranking eighth in batting average. The Marlins are also 18th in on-base percentage, 27th in runs, home runs, and 19th in slugging percentage.
The Marlins will cover the spread if they can get more runs early. Then, Luzardo must pitch well, with the bullpen following suit with good performances and the ability to locate the strike zone.
Final Padres-Marlins Prediction & Pick
Both these teams struggle to score. Therefore, expect more of the same in this finale. The Padres and the Marlins struggle to put runs across the board, ensuring this is a low-scoring game.
Final Padres-Marlins Prediction & Pick: Under: 7.5 (+100)