Most of the matchups in Euro 2024 see the teams face off for the first time in this cycle. However, Slovenia and Denmark have faced off twice in qualifying, with the matchups ending in a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 Denmark victory. Despite losing to Denmark, Slovenia finished first in the qualifying group, which didn’t mean much as they ended up in the same group anyway. Denmark is looking to build on their semifinal berth in the 2021 Euro tournament, but an aging core will find it hard to replicate that performance. Slovenia made the Euros for just the second time in their history. It is time to continue our Euro 2024 odds series with a Slovenia-Denmark prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.

Slovenia can take solace in their first-place finish in qualifying, but the group wasn’t strong aside from Denmark. They benefitted from Denmark’s upset losses to some of the weaker teams more than earning it themselves, as they managed just one point of a possible six against Denmark. Benjamin Sesko will have to lead Slovenia with a heroic performance, as the RB Leipzig striker has 11 goals in his last 13 matches.

Switzerland’s qualifying had many disappointing performances. They lost to Kazakhstan, tied Slovenia, and then lost 2-0 to Northern Ireland on the final day to give Slovenia the group. They have the chance to avenge one of those performances in this game, but that’s where the revenge tour could end, with matchups against England and Serbia looming.

Here are the 2024 Euros odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

2024 Euros Odds: Slovenia-Denmark Odds

Slovenia: +410

Denmark: -130

Draw: +250

Over 2.5 goals: +126

Under 2.5 goals: -154

How to Watch Slovenia vs. Denmark

Time: noon ET/9 AM PT

TV: FS1, TSN

Stream: (Click Here for Free Trial)

Why Slovenia Will Win

Slovenia has a basic tactical approach, falling behind the rest of the world with a standard 4-4-2. They rely on long balls and set pieces to excel, as they know they aren’t able to beat teams in the run of play. The Slovenians averaged more opportunities from set pieces than any other team in the competition. It could be a problem for Denmark, as they allowed the second-most shots from set pieces. Denmark must keep the play in Slovenia’s half to avoid a tragic goal from a set piece.

Why Denmark Will Win

Denmark has shaken off their poor end to qualifying with three wins and a draw in four friendlies leading up to Euro 2024. They’ve beaten teams like Norway and Sweden on that run and also drew Switzerland. Denmark has the experience to get past Slovenia in the first match, but their older players could struggle throughout the tournament against England and Serbia.

Denmark will be okay against Slovenia, who they drew and beat in qualifying. They’ll struggle against teams who pressure and try to attack them in transition but are better suited for passive opponents like Slovenia. Denmark may not have beaten Slovenia as convincingly as their fans would like, but the combined expected goals in their two qualifying games were 2.69 for Denmark and 0.53 for Slovenia.

Final Slovenia-Denmark Prediction & Pick

Denmark’s expected goals against Slovenia make me believe they’ll handle Slovenia in this matchup. Denmark’s form was at an all-time low when they lost 2-0 to Northern Ireland in the final qualifying game, but their winning form returned in the last four friendlies. Denmark will win this game against Slovenia, but it could be the end of their success, with matches against England and Serbia on the horizon.

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Final Slovenia-Denmark Prediction & Pick: Denmark ML (-130)