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UFC Vegas 107: Erin Blanchfield versus Maycee Barber continues on the prelims with a fight between Mateusz Gamrot and L'udovit Klein in the lightweight division on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds series for our Gamrot-Klein prediction and pick.
Mateusz Gamrot (24-3) returns to UFC Vegas 107 after a narrow split decision loss to Dan Hooker at UFC 305, which snapped a two-fight win streak that included a dominant decision over Rafael dos Anjos and a TKO (injury) win against Rafael Fiziev. Now, Gamrot looks to rebound against surging contender Ľudovít Klein.
Ľudovit Klein (24-4-1) enters UFC Vegas 107 on a four-fight win streak, most recently outpointing Roosevelt Roberts and Thiago Moisés by unanimous decision. Before that, Klein delivered a first-round TKO against AJ Cunningham. Now, “Mr. Highlight” aims to break into the top 15 by upsetting Mateusz Gamrot in Las Vegas.
Here are the UFC Vegas 107 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 107 Odds: Mateusz Gamrot-L'udovit Klein Odds
Mateusz Gamrot: -162
L'udovit Klein: +136
Over 2.5 rounds: -298
Under 2.5 rounds: +220
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Why Mateusz Gamrot Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Dan Hooker – DEC
- Last 5: 3-2
- Finishes: 13 (8 KO/TKO/5 SUB)
Mateusz Gamrot is favored to beat Ľudovit Klein at UFC Vegas 107 due to his elite wrestling, relentless pace, and experience against top-tier opposition. Gamrot, a two-time European submission wrestling champion and former KSW double champ, has consistently faced and often beaten lightweight contenders inside the UFC’s top 15.
He averages an impressive 5.25 takedowns per fight, making him the division’s second most prolific wrestler, and his game plan typically revolves around chaining awkward striking into clinches and takedowns, where he excels at controlling and wearing down opponents.
While Klein enters on a strong four-fight win streak, he’s yet to defeat a ranked opponent and will face a significant step up in competition against Gamrot. Klein’s striking is powerful, and his takedown defense is statistically elite (95.2%), but Gamrot’s relentless, high-level wrestling and deep gas tank have troubled even the division’s best.
If Gamrot can force the fight to the mat and maintain his trademark pressure, his experience and grappling edge should allow him to dictate the pace and neutralize Klein’s offense. Expect Gamrot to grind out a hard-fought decision, reaffirming his status as a top lightweight contender and halting Klein’s rise just short of the division’s elite.
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Why L'udovit Klein Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Chris Duncan – SUB R1
- Last 5: 4-0-1
- Finishes: 17 (9 KO/TKO/8 SUB)
Ľudovit Klein has a legitimate path to victory over Mateusz Gamrot at UFC Vegas 107, thanks to his elite striking, tactical discipline, and exceptional takedown defense. Klein enters on a four-fight win streak and boasts a 91% takedown defense rate, the best among active UFC lightweights, which will be crucial against Gamrot’s relentless wrestling attack.
Klein’s striking is sharp, technical, and powerful, landing 3.81 significant strikes per minute with 54% accuracy, and he rarely leaves himself out of position, making him difficult to counter. He’s also shown the ability to adapt mid-fight, mixing in his own wrestling when needed and fighting smart, risk-averse bouts that often go the distance.
Gamrot, while a world-class wrestler, has been dropped or wobbled in several recent fights, including his split decision loss to Dan Hooker, raising questions about his durability against a precise striker like Klein. If Klein can stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing, his superior boxing and leg kicks could rack up damage and sway the judges, especially in Las Vegas, where control time is often undervalued.
Expect Klein to defend enough takedowns, win key striking exchanges, and potentially edge out a close decision, breaking into the lightweight top 15 with the biggest win of his career.
Final Mateusz Gamrot-L'udovit Klein Prediction & Pick
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ľudovit Klein at UFC Vegas 107 is a classic “styles make fights” co-main event, pitting Gamrot’s relentless wrestling against Klein’s sharp, aggressive striking. Gamrot enters as the more pedigreed fighter, having faced and often beaten top-15 lightweights, while Klein rides a four-fight win streak but has yet to face elite competition.
Gamrot’s awkward striking is primarily a means to clinch, press opponents to the fence, or set up takedowns, his true area of expertise. His wrestling is elite, supported by unending cardio and a deep will to win, and he will attempt to ground Klein repeatedly. Whether Klein’s impressive takedown defense and striking power can keep Gamrot honest is the central question.
Klein will look dynamic early, using his forward pressure and durability, but Gamrot’s experience and wrestling should allow him to dictate the fight’s terms. If Gamrot can consistently transition the fight to the mat, he’s likely to neutralize Klein’s offense and grind out a decision.
Gamrot’s experience, relentless wrestling, and higher-level opposition faced give him the edge, and he should secure a hard-fought decision win to reaffirm his place among the lightweight elite.
Final Mateusz Gamrot-L'udovit Klein Prediction & Pick: Mateusz Gamrot (-162), Over 2.5 Rounds (-298)
