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UFC Vegas 107: Erin Blanchfield versus Maycee Barber continues on the prelims with a fight between Michael Aswell and Bolaji Oki in the lightweight division on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds series for our Aswell-Oki prediction and pick.
Michael Aswell (10-2) rebounded from a close split decision loss to Bogdan Grad on Dana White’s Contender Series with a gritty split decision win over Dorian Ramos. Prior to that, Aswell showcased his power by knocking out Nate Richardson in just over a minute. He now faces Bolaji Oki at UFC Vegas 107 on just three days' notice.
Bolaji Oki (9-2) enters UFC Vegas 107 after a first-round submission loss to Chris Duncan, which snapped his momentum from a hard-fought split decision win over Timmy Cuamba. Before that, Oki impressed with a first-round knockout of Dylan Salvador on Dana White’s Contender Series and now looks to rebound against Michael Aswell.
Here are the UFC Vegas 107 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 107 Odds: Michael Aswell-Bolaji Oki Odds
Michael Aswell: +285
Bolaji Oki: -360
Over 2.5 rounds: -140
Under 2.5 rounds: +110
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Why Michael Aswell Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Dorian Ramos – DEC
- Last 5: 3-2
- Finishes: 5 (5 KO/TKO)
Michael Aswell enters UFC Vegas 107 with a style built for high-paced, three-round wars. His relentless forward pressure, high output, and ability to absorb damage while staying in his opponent’s face have been key to his recent success. Aswell’s striking volume and willingness to trade make him a difficult matchup for fighters who prefer to dictate range or slow the tempo.
His recent knockout win over Nate Richardson and a gritty split decision loss to Bogdan Grad, where he never stopped pressing, demonstrate his durability and capacity to break opponents with pace.
Against Bolaji Oki, Aswell’s pressure and cardio advantage could be decisive. Oki has shown clean striking and power, but his recent first-round submission loss to Chris Duncan exposed vulnerabilities under duress, especially when forced out of his comfort zone.
Aswell’s ability to push the action, mix in opportunistic ground-and-pound, and recover quickly from adversity gives him the edge in a fight likely to test both men’s resolve. If Aswell can maintain his trademark aggression and make Oki fight off the back foot, he’s poised to outwork the Belgian prospect and secure a statement win this weekend.
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Why Bolaji Oki Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Chris Duncan – SUB R1
- Last 5: 4-1
- Finishes: 6 (5 KO/TKO/1 SUB)
Bolaji Oki enters UFC Vegas 107 with a dynamic skill set and proven finishing ability, making him a real threat to Michael Aswell. Oki’s crisp jab and long right hand allow him to control range and set up his power shots, while his wrestling, though often a secondary option, gives him the versatility to change levels and keep opponents guessing. With five knockout wins and four first-round finishes, Oki has demonstrated he can end fights early and capitalize on any opening.
Against Aswell, Oki’s ability to mix up his striking and wrestling could be the key. Aswell’s high-pressure style may play into Oki’s strengths, as Oki’s sharp counters and movement can exploit aggressive entries. If Aswell overcommits, Oki’s straight punches and timely takedowns could disrupt his rhythm and rack up control time.
Moreover, Oki’s experience in close split decisions shows he can stay composed under fire and edge out rounds when it matters most. With his well-rounded game and finishing instincts, Oki is well-positioned to hand Aswell a tough loss and re-establish himself as a rising contender in the lightweight division this weekend.
Final Michael Aswell-Bolaji Oki Prediction & Pick
Michael Aswell vs. Bolaji Oki at UFC Vegas 107 presents a classic clash of styles and momentum. Aswell is known for his relentless pressure, high-volume striking, and ability to push the pace deep into fights. He thrives in gritty battles, wearing down opponents with cardio and resilience.
Oki, on the other hand, brings explosive power, sharp boxing, and a knack for finishing fights early. His clean striking and ability to mix in takedowns make him a dangerous threat, although his low volume and patience can sometimes allow opponents to dictate the tempo.
The key to this matchup will be whether Aswell can impose his will and force Oki into extended exchanges, or if Oki can land something significant early and keep the fight at his preferred range. Oki’s recent performance against Chris Duncan showed he can outland opponents and look sharp, but Aswell’s pressure game could exploit his susceptibility to submissions and occasional low output.
Expect a competitive bout where Aswell’s endurance and aggression test Oki’s composure and finishing instincts. Ultimately, this fight could hinge on whether Oki can hurt Aswell early; if not, Aswell can drag Oki into deep waters and outwork him over three rounds to get the nod on the judge's scorecards.
Final Michael Aswell-Bolaji Oki Prediction & Pick: Michael Aswell (+285), Over 2.5 Rounds (-140)
