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UFC Vegas 107: Erin Blanchfield versus Maycee Barber continues on the prelims with a fight between Trevin Giles and Andreas Gustafsson in a 180-pound catchweight bout on Saturday. Check out our UFC odds series for our Giles-Gustafsson prediction and pick.
Trevin Giles (16-7) enters UFC Vegas 107 on a three-fight losing skid but saved his spot by stepping in on short notice against debuting Andreas Gustafsson. Known for slick kickboxing and solid grappling, Giles has struggled with defensive lapses costing him fights, yet his experience and power keep him dangerous.
Gustafsson (11-2) makes his UFC debut riding a three-fight win streak, including a second-round TKO on Dana White’s Contender Series. The Swedish striker boasts a heavy-handed style with high striking volume and solid takedown defense, aiming to capitalize on Giles’ recent struggles and secure a UFC win early in his career.
Here are the UFC Vegas 107 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 107 Odds: Trevin Giles-Andreas Gustafsson Odds
Trevin Giles: +142
Andreas Gustafsson: -170
Over 2.5 rounds: +110
Under 2.5 rounds: -140
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Why Trevin Giles Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Mike Malott – DEC
- Last 5: 1-4
- Finishes: 11 (6 KO/TKO/5 SUB)
Trevin Giles has a strong case to defeat Andreas Gustafsson at UFC Vegas 107, leveraging his extensive UFC experience and technical skill set. Giles, a UFC veteran since 2017, has faced elite competition, including current middleweight champion Dricus Du Plessis and top contender Roman Dolidze, and owns a balanced UFC record despite recent setbacks.
His striking accuracy sits at an impressive 55%, and he absorbs just 2.22 significant strikes per minute, showcasing both offensive efficiency and defensive awareness. Giles also boasts a solid 71% takedown defense, which will be crucial against Gustafsson’s aggressive clinch and ground attack.
While Gustafsson enters with momentum from a dominant Contender Series win, Giles’ experience against high-level opponents gives him a significant edge. Giles’ ability to maintain range, utilize sharp counterstriking, and defend takedowns should allow him to dictate the pace and keep the fight in his comfort zone.
Despite stepping in on short notice, Giles’ technical striking and composure under fire could frustrate the UFC newcomer, who has yet to face anyone of Giles’ caliber. If Giles avoids defensive lapses and capitalizes on Gustafsson’s forward pressure, expect him to secure a much-needed victory and reaffirm his place on the UFC roster.
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Why Andreas Gustafsson Will Win
- Last Fight: (W) Pat Pytlik – SUB R1
- Last 5: 4-1
- Finishes: 10 (8 KO/TKO/2 SUB)
Andreas Gustafsson is well-positioned to notch a victory over Trevin Giles at UFC Vegas 107, thanks to his relentless forward pressure and gritty clinch game. Gustafsson enters his UFC debut on a three-fight win streak, highlighted by a dominant second-round TKO of Pat Pytlik on Dana White’s Contender Series, where he showcased his ability to overwhelm opponents with volume, aggression, and punishing knees in close quarters.
His style, built around high output, durability, and a grinding approach against the cage, has proven effective, especially against opponents who struggle with pressure and physicality. Giles, stepping in on short notice and riding a three-fight skid, has shown flashes of skill but has struggled with defensive lapses and durability issues, particularly in recent bouts.
Gustafsson’s aggressive barging style and willingness to absorb shots to land his own make him a tough puzzle for Giles, who has faltered when pressured by powerful opponents. If Gustafsson can close the distance, push Giles to the fence, and unleash his clinch strikes and ground-and-pound, he’s likely to sap Giles’ energy and confidence. Expect Gustafsson’s tenacity and physicality to break through, earning him a statement win in his UFC debut.
Final Trevin Giles-Andreas Gustafsson Prediction & Pick
The Andreas Gustafsson vs. Trevin Giles matchup at UFC Vegas 107 presents a classic clash between a surging newcomer and a veteran seeking redemption. Gustafsson, making his UFC debut, enters with momentum after a dominant second-round TKO win on Dana White’s Contender Series and boasts a three-fight win streak.
His style is built around relentless pressure, clinch work, and a willingness to grind opponents down with volume and physicality. Gustafsson’s full camp preparation and confidence could be key advantages, especially against a short-notice opponent. Giles, meanwhile, steps in with his back against the wall, riding a three-fight losing streak but carrying valuable UFC experience and a well-rounded skill set.
He’s shown flashes of elite striking and grappling, but defensive lapses and late-fight fades have cost him in the past. Early on, Giles may find success with his slick kickboxing and movement, but as the fight progresses, Gustafsson’s pressure and cardio are likely to take over.
Expect Gustafsson to weather any early storms, push Giles to the fence, and wear him down with clinch strikes and ground work, potentially earning a late stoppage or clear decision in his UFC debut.
Final Trevin Giles-Andreas Gustafsson Prediction & Pick: Andreas Gustafsson (-170), Under 2.5 Rounds (-140)
