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The UFC Vegas 107 Main Card is finally live from The Apex in Las Vegas as we kick things off in the Middleweight (185) Division. Zach Reese of Texas will take on Montenegro's Dusko Todorovic as both fighters try to rebound following recent losses. Check the UFC odds series for our Reese-Todorovic prediction and pick.
Zach Reese (8-2) has gone 2-2 since entering the UFC in 2023, most recently dropping his last bout to Azamat Bekoev via TKO in the first round. While he's been up and down to begin his tenure, the Contender Series alum boasts a ton of potential and has a great shot as the betting favorite here. Reese stands 6-foot-4 with a 77-inch reach.
Dusko Todorovic (12-5) is 3-5 inside the UFC since debuting in 2020. He lost his last fight to Mansur Abdul-Malik via knockout, marking the third loss in his last four fights. Also having a ton of potential in this division, he'll need to improve his efforts and get back on the winning track. Todorovic stands 6-foot-1 with a 74-inch reach.
Here are the UFC Vegas 107 Odds, courtesy of DraftKings.
UFC Vegas 107 Odds: Zach Reese-Dusko Todorovic Odds
Zach Reese: -230
Dusko Todorovic: +190
Over 1.5 rounds: +140
Under 1.5 rounds: -180
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Why Zach Reese Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Azamat Bekoev – TKO (ground-and-pound, R1)
- Last 5: 3-2
- Finishes: 5 KO/TKO, 2 SUB
Zach Reese started his last fight firing on all cylinders once again, and it unfortunately didn't end in his favor. After impressing with a first-round knockout on Dana White's Contender Series, it's become his calling card as three of his four appearances have ended before the second round. He went the distance against Jose Medina in a great display of toughness, so he'll be hoping to be on the right side of this one.
Reese is a no-frills striker and immediately takes the center of the octagon with his aggressive striking. He has a very impressive frame for the division, and while his takedown defense could use some work, his physicality and willingness to mix things up are what make him most dangerous.
On the feet, Reese will be looking to connect with his overhand right and strong hooks from both sides. He generates a ton of power, but he'll have to keep his chin tucked instead of hanging outsid,e as he's been knocked out in the past. Still, look for Reese to be the aggressor during this fight.
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Why Dusko Todorovic Will Win
- Last Fight: (L) Mansur Abdul-Malik – TKO (punches, R1)
- Last 5: 2-3
- Finishes: 8 KO/TKO, 3 SUB
Dusko Todorovic has had a tough string of fights with three knockouts in the first round over his last four bouts. He hasn't been able to find his footing as he fights with a similar, blazing-fast pace to his opponent in Reese. Todorovic wastes no time in opening up his combinations and lands 5.35 significant strikes per minute. His defense takes a dip at 46%, but he's confident in his power landing before his opponent is able to.
Todorovic is very well-rounded with his kickboxing skills, but he's not one to initiate the wrestling and find opportunities on the ground. He'll prefer to keep this fight on the feet, and if it's anything like his last few appearances, he'll be looking to get out of there as quickly as possible.
Look for Todorovic to be very cautious and hoping to counter throughout this fight. With an aggressive opponent like Reese, it'll only take a few missed shots for Todorovic to find the openings and counter with his own offense. From there, he can look to put the pressure on Reese and put this fight away early.
Final Zach Reese-Dusko Todorovic Prediction & Pick
Given the track record of these two fighters, we should be in for a chaotic scrap that is sure to end inside the distance. Zach Reese is the slightly longer fighter and possesses more power, while Dusko Todorovic is more technical and will likely be looking to counter during this fight.
Both men have been knocked out in the past, and it'll be interesting to see who can initiate the more solid defense during this one. Given his frame and size, we have to give a small advantage to Zach Reese given the leverage he can generate with his long limbs. He's also slightly faster with better movement around the cage, so it may be hard for Todorovic to land a clean shot consistently against him.
For the final prediction, we like Zach Reese to finish this fight inside the first round as he returns sharp and with crisp striking for the win.
Final Zach Reese-Dusko Todorovic Prediction & Pick: Zach Reese (-230)
