After a thrilling finish in the desert between the New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks last night, the two clubs will lace up the cleats and suit up for a rematch on Saturday night. It is that time once again to check out our MLB odds series, where our Mets-Diamondbacks prediction and odds will be selected.
The Mets are coming off a hard-earned win 6-5 over the D-Backs in 1o innings. After narrowly escaping the jaws of defeat, New York now sits at an impressive 11-4 which is one of the best marks in baseball.
On the hill for the Mets is expected to be RHP Trevor Williams, who has yet to allow a run yet this season in his pair of appearances.
Looking to get the D-Backs back in the win column will be RHP Humberto Castellanos, who has compiled a 2.57 ERA in three starts on the year. Arizona is 5-9 in 14 games played thus far in 2022.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Mets-Diamondbacks MLB odds:
MLB Odds: Mets-Diamondbacks Odds
New York Mets: -1.5 (+100)
Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-120)
Over: 9.5 (-105)
Under: 9.5 (-115)
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Why the Mets Could Cover the Spread
How about those New York Mets? After closer Edwin Diaz lost the lead in the ninth when he gave up a game-tying solo home run, New York quickly moved on and took care of business in extra innings. It appeared that they might've been destined for defeat on a warm and pleasant Arizona evening at Chase Field, but the 2022 Mets have looked every part of being resilient and an overall fun team to watch compete. After disappointing mightily last season, New York has won eight of its last 10 contests and is one of the hottest squads in all of baseball. Can the Mets keep up their stellar play on Saturday?
To begin, a huge reason for New York's early-season success has been in large part due to being tremendously effective on offense, on the mound, and even defensively out on the field. One of the few teams in the majors that is top ten in hitting and pitching, the Mets have proven to be a club thus far that many other teams do not want to square up against. In the batter's box, New York has displayed a constant theme of patience and not swinging at pitches that are out of the zone, an element of the game that eluded them in 2021.
Because of this, the Mets have scored the most runs in baseball with 74 total, capitalizing on other teams' mistakes and making them pay in the worst possible ways. New York is simply finding ways to reach, as their on-base percentage ranks second in the MLB with a .346 mark.
Pitching-wise, the Mets have been equally as effective. Starters such as Max Scherzer, Carlos Carrasco, Tylor Megill, and Chris Bassitt all possess an ERA of under 3.00, as New York's five quality starts through 15 games is good for the fifth most.
New York is 9-5 ATS in 14 chances so far this year.
Why the Diamondbacks Could Cover the Spread
In a heartbreaking loss to say the least for Arizona, the D-Backs scratched and clawed their way to tie the game in the ninth only to relinquish their comeback efforts in coming up short an inning later. While Arizona has gotten off to a slow start to the season campaign, the D-Backs are still capable of beating anyone at any time if they play up to their standard.
While that may be true, especially in baseball where even the best of teams can lose unexpectedly, the stats show that the Diamondbacks are a bad bunch in numerous areas.
Offensively, this is a bottom-five lineup in baseball that has struggled to find any stability or production at the plate. Arizona is 26th in runs scored with 42 and is dead-last with a team batting average of .180.
With a lack of offensive firepower, the pressure to pitch to near perfection is at an all-time high, making the margin of error very slim for the D-Backs starting staff and bullpen. Pitching has definitely been the best part of Arizona's game up to this point, and while they have been far from dominant, they have at least been respectable. The Diamondbacks are 12th in team ERA at 3.41 and are also 18th in WHIP at 1.27.
There is much potential with this group, as the reason that the D-Backs could cover in this one will be because of Arizona's ability to throw strikes and keep the Mets off the scoreboard.
Arizona is 8-6 against the spread to begin their first 14 games in April.
Final Mets-Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick
Yes, the matchup between these two might've been close on Friday, but the Mets are on fire while the Diamondbacks are, well, underwhelming to say the least. Even after a short two-game winning streak by the D-Backs prior to last night, Arizona just doesn't match up well on paper with the Mets.
Final Mets-Diamondbacks Pick: Mets -1.5 (+100)
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