The Colorado Rockies will attempt to win the four-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks as the NL West rivals meet in the finale at Chase Field. It's time to continue our MLB odds coverage with a Rockies-Diamondbacks prediction and pick.
The Diamondbacks defeated the Rockies 9-2 on Saturday. It was a 3-2 Diamondbacks lead in the sixth inning when Jordan Luplow slugged a solo home run to left field. It was his 11th in 2022, giving the Diamondbacks the 4-2 lead. Arizona had more in the tank in the next inning. Josh Rojas clipped a two-run double to left-center field, giving Arizona a 6-2 lead. The Diamondbacks never looked back, on their way to a victory.
Today, the Rockies will go with German Marquez on the mound. Marquez is 4-7 with a 5.90 ERA. He tossed six innings in his last start, allowing four earned runs on six hits, including two home runs and three walks. Despite the bad marks, he is 3-4 with a 4.46 ERA in seven starts on the road. Marquez is 5-6 with a 4.01 ERA over 20 appearances against the Diamondbacks in his career. Additionally, he tossed six innings in his last appearance against the D-Backs on May 18, allowing four runs (three earned) on six hits. Marquez is 2-3 with a 3.70 ERA in 11 games at Chase Field.
The Diamondbacks will go with Tyler Gilbert on the hill. Gilbert is 0-3 with a 6.86 ERA. He went 3 2/3 innings in his last start, allowing one earned run on four hits. Gilbert went five innings in his last start against the Rockies last year, allowing four earned runs on nine hits.
The Rockies are 37-48 and in fifth place in the NL West. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks are right above them by one game, at 38-47, and fourth in the division.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Rockies-Diamondbacks odds:
MLB Odds: Rockies-Diamondbacks Odds
Rockies: +1.5 (+155)
Diamondbacks: -1.5 (-188)
Over: 9 (-108)
Under: 9 (-112)
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Why The Rockies Could Cover The Spread
The Rockies are 5-4 against the Diamondbacks in 2022. Also, they are 3-3 at Chase Field. Despite their poor season, the Rockies have consistently held their own against the Diamondbacks. They lead this series 2-1 and are looking to win the four-game set. It helps that the Rockies are one of the better hitting teams in the league.
The Rockies rank second in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, 12th in runs scored, and 11th in slugging percentage. The one weakness in their hitting is ironically home runs. CJ Cron has been their better producer, batting .295 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs, and 49 runs scored across 84 games. Additionally, Cron is .315 with two home runs, 20 RBIs, and 11 runs scored across 26 games in his career against the D-Backs. Cron has kept that up this season, batting .345 with two home runs, 10 RBIs, and three runs scored across eight games in the series.
Kris Bryant being back in the lineup helps the Rockies. Bryant has dealt with injuries all season, so his return is a boost. He is batting .299 with four home runs, 10 RBIs, and 21 runs over 28 games. Bryant is batting .288 with nine home runs, 32 RBIs, and 35 runs scored over 49 games against the D-Backs in his career. Moreover, he is crushing them at Chase Field, where he is batting .327 with seven home runs, 20 RBIs, and 21 runs scored over 26 career games in Arizona.
The Rockies will cover the spread if they get their offense going and Marquez has a good outing. Neither pitching nor offense did well yesterday, so it is essential that Colorado remedy that.
Why The Diamondbacks Could Cover The Spread
The Diamondbacks have struggled all season and are mediocre against the Rockies. They are in fourth place and have not gotten the job done. Unfortunately, it is not a new theme. The Diamondbacks are 30-30 over 60 home games against the Rockies since 2016. The Rockies are a division rival that they have stagnated against, unable to pick up any momentum.
Christian Walker is their best weapon, and he struggles often. Walker is batting .211 with 21 home runs, 43 RBIs, and 42 runs scored in 2022. However, he is batting .303 with 14 home runs, 37 RBIs, and 34 runs scored across 55 career games against the Rockies. Walker has punished them at home, going .320 with seven home runs, 23 RBIs, and 17 runs scored over 29 games against the Rockies at Chase Field. However, this season he has slowed down a little, batting .290 with two home runs, five RBIs, and five runs scored across nine games against the Rockies.
The Diamondbacks will cover the spread if they can score runs. They managed nine yesterday, which came after eight combined runs over two games. The offense will be the key.
Final Rockies-Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick
The Rockies and Diamondbacks are among the bottom tier in the league. Likewise, this game will be a significant display of that. Marquez has fallen so far off the face of the Earth, and the Diamondbacks do not have much to offer, either. Expect some scoring in this game.
Final Rockies-Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick: Over: 9 (-108)
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