Subscribe
Follow Us
The Blue Jays make the trip to Boston to face the Red Sox! On paper these two teams are relatively similar, but recently the Blue Jays are struggling, while the Red Sox are red-hot and they won the first game in this series already. Our MLB odds series has our Blue Jays-Red Sox prediction, odds, and pick for Wednesday.
Blue Jays-Red Sox Projected Starters
Yariel Rodriguez vs. Kutter Crawford
Yariel Rodriguez (0-2) with a 5.94 ERA and a 1.92 WHIP
Last Start: Pitched 1.1 innings and gave up five runs on two hits with three walks and one strikeout in a Blue Jays loss.
2024 Road Splits: (0-2) 7.71 ERA
Kutter Crawford (3-7) with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP
Last Start: Pitched 6.1 innings and gave up five runs on five hits with two walks and seven strikeouts in a Red Sox loss.
2024 Home Splits: (2-5) 4.15 ERA
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Blue Jays-Red Sox Odds
Toronto Blue Jays: +1.5 (-150)
Moneyline: +136
Boston Red Sox: -1.5 (+125)
Moneyline: -162
Over: 9.5 (-110)
Under: 9.5 (-110)
How to Watch Blue Jays vs. Red Sox
Time: 7:10 ET
TV: NESN
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Blue Jays Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Blue Jays have been inconsistent to start the season towards a 35-43 record. They have lost seven straight leading into this game, including the first game of this series. The team has struggled behind the plate with their bats and then their pitching has also struggled, with both being in the bottom half of the MLB this season. Daulton Varsho, Justin Turner, Bo Bichette, George Springer, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have stood out behind the plate. Jose Berrios and Yusei Kikuchi have been their best pitchers up to this point in the season. Toronto has talent, but they have not found any consistency up to this point in the season.
The Blue Jays are starting Yariel Rodriguez on the mound and he has a 0-2 record, a 5.94 ERA, and a 1.92 WHIP. Through 16.2 innings, he has allowed 13 runs on 21 hits with 11 walks, and 17 strikeouts. The Blue Jays are 3-2 in his five starts this season. Rodriguez has struggled this season on the mound and this is a huge challenge because the Red Sox and their offense are red-hot behind the plate.
The offense for the Blue Jays has struggled towards a .233 which is 22nd in the league, after finishing last season with a .256 batting average. Daulton Varsho and Vladimir Guerrero Jr lead the team in almost every important batting category. Guerrero Jr. leads the way in batting average at .286, in RBI at 36, in OBP at .368, and in total hits at 86. Finally, Varsho leads the way in home runs at 11. This offense has struggled, but this matchup against Kutter Crawford helps because he has been a weaker link in a usually strong Red Sox pitching staff.
Why The Red Sox Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Red Sox have been average for the most part this season, but are playing much better recently. They have a 43-36 record and have won eight of their last nine games and three straight, including the first game in this series. Statistically, the Red Sox are sixth in pitching and behind the plate. Tyler O'Neill, Triston Casas, Jarren Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, and Rafael Devers are all talented players and have been solid to a varying degree behind the plate so far this season. Regarding their pitching, Tanner Houck, Nick Pivetta, and Garrett Whitlock despite his current injury have made up a great pitching staff.
The Red Sox are starting Kutter Crawford on the mound where he has a 3-7 record, a 3.59 ERA, and a 1.14 WHIP. He has allowed 45 runs on 78 hits with 28 walks and 95 strikeouts through 92.2 total innings this season. In the 16 games he has appeared in this year, the Red Sox are 4-12. Crawford has been inconsistent on the mound and a weaker link for the Red Sox in their pitching staff. The Blue Jays have struggled behind the plate, so his inconsistency might not matter much.
The Red Sox's offense has gotten much better and is red-hot currently. They are sixth in team batting average at .255 after finishing last season at .258. The offense is led by Rafael Devers and Jarren Duran in most batting categories behind the plate. Devers is tied for the lead in home runs at 15 with Tyler O'Neill and then leads in RBI at 41, and in OBP at .366. Then, Duran leads in batting average at .293 and total hits at 96. This offense is red-hot as a unit and gets a favorable matchup against Yariel Rodriguez on the mound for the Blue Jays who have struggled a lot.
Final Blue Jays-Red Sox Prediction & Pick
The Red Sox are the hotter team and should win this game. They have the pitching advantage with Crawford over Rodriguez for the Blue Jays and then easily have the advantage behind the plate too on offense. The Red Sox should win and cover at home and keep their hot streak alive.
Click here for more betting news and predictions
Final Blue Jays-Red Sox Prediction & Pick: Red Sox -1.5 (+125)
