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The Mariners make the trip to Miami to face the Marlins! These teams are playing like the complete opposite of each other with the Mariners in the playoff hunt, while the Marlins are one of the worst teams in the MLB. Both teams are playing well leading into this series. Our MLB odds series has our Mariners-Marlins prediction, odds, and pick for Friday.
Mariners-Marlins Projected Starters
George Kirby vs. Trevor Rogers
George Kirby (6-5) with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP
Last Start: Pitched six innings and gave up one run on three hits with two walks and six strikeouts in a Mariners win.
2024 Road Splits: (1-4) 4.70 ERA
Trevor Rogers (1-8) with a 5.09 ERA and 1.62 WHIP
Last Start: Pitched seven innings and gave up two runs on six hits with zero walks and three strikeouts in a Marlins loss.
2024 Home Splits: (0-4) 5.35 ERA
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Mariners-Marlins Odds
Seattle Mariners: -1.5 (+104)
Moneyline: -168
Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-125)
Moneyline: +142
Over: 7.5 (-110)
Under: 7.5 (-110)
How to Watch Mariners vs. Marlins
Time: 7:10 pm ET
TV: Bally Sports Florida / ROOT Sports
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Mariners Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Mariners have been playing well this season and have a 44-33 record. They have lost two straight after winning four straight. The Mariners have struggled behind the plate this season, but their pitching staff is a top-10 unit in the MLB. Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh, Mitch Haniger, Jorge Polanco, Ty France, and Mitch Garver are standouts on offense despite their struggles. Luis Castillo, Logan Gilbert, George Kirby, and Bryce Miller have all been at varying levels of good to great for the Mariners pitching-wise and have carried the team when needed.
The Mariners are starting George Kirby on the mound where he has a 6-5 record, a 3.54 ERA, and a 1.01 WHIP. Through 86.1 innings, he has allowed 35 runs on 78 hits with nine walks and 84 strikeouts. In his 15 starts this season, the Mariners have an 8-7 record. Kirby has been great this season, and he gets a favorable matchup against a struggling Marlins offense. Pitching has been the Mariners' strong suit and this is a great matchup for them behind the plate.
The Mariners have talent, but they have struggled across the board this season behind the plate. They are 29th in batting average at .220 after finishing last season at .242. Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh, and Ty France lead the Mariners in most batting categories. Rodriguez leads in batting average at .264 and in total hits at 80. Raleigh then leads in home runs at 12 and in RBI at 44. Finally, Ty France leads in OBP at .337. This matchup against Rogers should help because he has had a tough season on the mound.
Why The Marlins Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Marlins are one of the worst teams in the MLB and currently have a 25-49 record. They come into this matchup winning two straight which follows a six-game losing streak. Their bats and pitching have both struggled across the board and are a big reason why they have struggled as a whole. Bryan De la Cruz, Jake Burger, Josh Bell, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have stood out despite their offensive struggles. Ryan Weathers has been a standout player on the mound for a struggling pitching staff. Not much has gone right for the Marlins this year overall.
The Marlins are starting Trevor Rogers on the mound where he has a 1-8 record, a 5.09 ERA, and a 1.62 WHIP. Through 69 innings, he has allowed 43 runs on 81 hits with 31 walks and 55 strikeouts. Rogers has started in 14 games for the Marlins and they have gone 1-13 in those starts. He has struggled on the mound and has not had the team to back him up either. Still, this might be a good matchup for him because the Mariners have been bad behind the plate this season.
The Marlins' offense has struggled this season as a whole. They are 20th in team batting average at .234 after finishing last season at .259. The offense is led by Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz. Chisholm Jr. leads the way in batting average at .266, in RBI at 36, in OBP at .333, and in total hits at 72. De La Cruz then leads the way in home runs at 13. This matchup should be difficult because Kirby has been playing great for the Mariners on the mound and has been a key piece to their pitching as a whole.
Final Mariners-Marlins Prediction & Pick
Neither team in this series has had much success on offense this season. The Marlins are better than the Mariners behind the plate, but not by much. The key is pitcher and George Kirby has been great while Trevor Rogers has been awful this season. Thanks to Kirby, the Mariners have the edge and should win and cover on the road.
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Final Mariners-Marlins Prediction & Pick: Mariners -1.5 (+104)
