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The Washington Nationals will conclude their three-game series with the Detroit Tigers on Thursday at Comerica Park. We're here to share our MLB odds series, make a Nationals-Tigers prediction, and pick while showing you how to watch.
Nationals-Tigers Projected Starters
Patrick Corbin vs. Casey Mize
Patrick Corbin (1-6) with a 6.15 ERA
Last Start: Corbin's bad season continued. He pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing six earned runs on seven hits while striking out three.
2024 Road Splits: Corbin is 1-4 with a 6.08 ERA over seven road starts.
Casey Mize (1-4) with a 4.73 ERA
Last Start: Mize went 5 1/3 innings in his last outing by allowing five runs, three earned, on eight hits in a loss to the Milwaukee Brewers.
2024 Home Splits: Mize has yet to secure a win in front of the Detroit faithful, going 0-2 with a 3.58 ERA over six starts at Comerica Park.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Nationals-Tigers Odds
Washington Nationals: +1.5 (-162)
Moneyline: +134
Detroit Tigers: -1.5 (+132)
Moneyline: -158
Over: 8.5 (-128)
Under: 8.5 (+104)
How to Watch Nationals vs. Tigers
Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10 AM PT
TV: MASN
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Nationals Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Nationals are hanging around. Currently, they entered Wednesday with a 31-35 mark and are third in the National League East. More importantly, they are one game behind the last wildcard spot in a crowded race. Washington has done this with great pitching. Unfortunately, their hitting has not lived up to the standard.
The Nats entered the action ranked just 25th in batting average and 23rd in on-base percentage. Moreover, they are also 24th in runs, 28th in home runs, and 27th in slugging percentage. But they have hitters who can make some good things happen. Yet, they need some consistency.
CJ Abrams had had his struggles this season, batting .245 with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs, and 36 runs. Yet, he did blast a triple on Tuesday to help with the scoring effort. Eddie Rosario has been the other bat in the lineup who is capable of driving in runners. Yet, he is struggling also, hitting just .186 with seven home runs, 23 RBIs, and 23 runs.
But the Nationals managed five runs on Tuesday. Overall, they did it with small ball. Three of the five runs were driven in with a sacrifice fly. Ultimately, the plan for Washington is to get a man in scoring position with no outs. Then, once the runner is on third base, the plan is to deliver with a fly ball to score the runner in. The Nats are also so patient they will take a run by drawing a bases loaded walk.
The pitching is also 15th in team ERA. While they have not always been consistent, they have found ways to win games because of this staff. Gore gives them an even better chance.
The Nationals will cover the spread if their offense can manufacture some runs. Then, they need Gore to have a quality start.
Why The Tigers Will Cover The Spread/Win
Things have gone downhill for Detroit pretty quickly. Ultimately, many expected them to be a sleeper team early in the season. But the Tigers have fallen short and are currently 32-34 and 11 1/2 games behind the Cleveland Guardians in the American League Central. One reason for their struggles is a putrid offense that is not getting the job done.
The offense is just 25th in batting average and 27th in on-base percentage. Likewise, they are 19th in runs, 24th in home runs, and 21st in slugging percentage.
Matt Vierling was supposed to be a great replacement for Matt Carpenter. However, he came into Wednesday batting just .087 with no runs driven in over seven days. It is a pathetic slump and one that he cannot get out of. Meanwhile, Riley Greene is struggling, batting .242 with 11 home runs, 28 RBIs, and 44 runs. The Tigers don't have any other options in their lineup who can pose a consistent threat.
The Tigers also don't have the pitching staff to consistently threaten other teams. Moreover, if Mize cannot get things going, the bullpen will have to come in earlier than preferred.
If the Tigers' bats come alive, they will cover the spread. Then, they need Mize to pitch well.
Final Nationals-Tigers Prediction & Pick
The Nationals are mediocre overall. Yet, they are 40-26 against the spread, with an impressive run-line record. The Nats are also 24-12 on the run-line record away from home. Therefore, they have played well on the road. The Tigers are 30-36 against the spread with the run-line record. Likewise, they are just 12-21 against the spread with the run-line record at home. But Corbin scares me. He is that awful. Maze finds a way to pick up his first win as the Tigers cover the spread at home.
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Final Nationals-Tigers Prediction & Pick: Detroit Tigers: -1.5 (+132)
