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The Phillies make the trip to Boston to face the Red Sox! The Phillies are in a race for the title of best team in baseball, while the Red Sox have been the epitome of average this season. The Phillies just had their winning streak snapped, while the Red Sox just snapped a losing streak heading into this series. Our MLB odds series has our Phillies-Red Sox prediction, odds, and pick for Tuesday.
Phillies-Red Sox Projected Starters
Zack Wheeler vs. Kutter Crawford
Zack Wheeler (7-3) with a 2.23 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP
Last Start: Pitched seven innings and gave up one run on five hits with three walks and six strikeouts in a Phillies win.
2024 Road Splits: (2-1) 3.21 ERA
Kutter Crawford (2-5) with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP
Last Start: Pitched six innings and gave up six runs on five hits with two walks and five strikeouts in a Red Sox loss.
2024 Home Splits: (1-4) 4.28 ERA
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Phillies-Red Sox Odds
Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+105)
Moneyline: -158
Boston Red Sox: +1.5 (-126)
Moneyline: +134
Over: 8.5 (+100)
Under: 8.5 (-122)
How to Watch Phillies vs. Red Sox
Time: 7:10 pm ET
TV: NESN / TBS
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Phillies Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Phillies are fighting with the Yankees as the best team in the MLB and they have a 45-20 record. The bats are a top-five unit in the MLB, while their pitching is the second-best, only behind the Yankees. On offense, Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, JT Realmuto, Bryce Harper, Brandon Marsh, Nick Castellanos, and Alec Bohm have been the big standouts on a great offense. The pitching of Ranger Suarez, Aaron Nola, Zack Wheeler, Cristopher Sanchez, and Spencer Turnbull have made up one of the best pitching staffs in the league. The Phillies have been a force this season and this is a huge game for them in Boston.
The Phillies are starting Zack Wheeler at pitcher where he has a 7-3 record, a 2.23 ERA, and a 0.97 WHIP. Through 80.2 innings, Wheeler has allowed 24 runs on 52 hits with 26 walks and 91 strikeouts. The Phillies are 7-6 in the 13 games that he's started in this season. Wheeler has been a key piece for the Phillies and it shows how much depth they have in their pitching rotation. This is a difficult matchup because the Red Sox have gained momentum behind the plate recently.
The offense for the Phillies has been great this season. The Phillies are tied for fifth in the MLB in team batting average at .255 after finishing last season at .256. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper lead the way for the Phillies behind the plate. Bohm leads the way in batting average at .291, in RBI at 51, and in hits at 71. Then, Harper leads the way in home runs at 15 and in OBP at .388. The Phillies offense gets a decent matchup against Crawford because he has been solid on the mound this season.
Why The Red Sox Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Red Sox have been average overall and have a 33-33. They just won a game to break a two-game losing streak. Statistically, the Red Sox are in the top 10 of the league behind the plate and then are top five in pitching on the mound. Tyler O'Neill, Triston Casas, Jarren Duran, Ceddanne Rafaela, and Rafael Devers are all talented players and have been solid to a varying degree behind the plate so far this season. When it comes to their pitching Tanner Houck, Kutter Crawford, Nick Pivetta, and Garrett Whitlock despite his current injury have made up a great pitching staff with all of them varying from good to great overall.
The Red Sox are starting Kutter Crawford as pitcher where he has a 2-5 record, a 3.51 ERA, and a 1.18 WHIP. He has allowed 33 runs on 64 hits with 24 walks and 71 strikeouts through 74.1 total innings this season. Through the 13 games that he has appeared in this year the Red Sox are 3-10. Crawford has been a key reason the Red Sox have been great on the mound even with the team not backing him that much. He gets a tough matchup against the Phillies behind the plate because of how well that offense has been playing.
The Red Sox's offense has been solid this season. They are ninth in team batting average at .247 after finishing last season at .258. The offense is led by Rafael Devers, Ceddanne Rafaela, and Jarren Duran in most batting categories behind the plate. Devers leads in batting average at .284, in home runs at 13, and in OBP at .375. Rafaela leads in RBI at 37, and then Duran in total hits at 71. The Red Sox are solid behind the plate, but Wheeler has been great on the mound for the Phillies.
Final Phillies-Red Sox Prediction & Pick
The Phillies are the better team in this game, but the Red Sox should be able to keep it close. They have the offense and Crawford is solid and this game is at home. The Phillies are the better offense and Wheeler is the better pitcher, so the Phillies might still win, but the Red Sox are going to keep it close.
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Final Phillies-Red Sox Prediction & Pick: Red Sox +1.5 (-126)
