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Simeon Woods Richardson takes the mound for the Minnesota Twins as they visit the Pittsburgh Pirates. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Twins-Pirates prediction and pick.
Twins-Pirates Projected Starters
Simeon Woods Richardson vs. Carmen Mlodzinski
Simeon Woods Richardson (2-0) with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP
Last Start: Last time out, it was just 4.1 innings of work for Woods Richardson. He gave up three hits and two walks while striking out six. Still, two of the hits were home runs, as he gave up three runs in the game, not factoring into the decision as the Twins beat the Astros 4-3.
2024 Road Splits: Woods Richardson has made six starts on the road this year, going 1-0. He has a 3.49 ERA on the road, and opponents have hit .252 against him on the road. Further, Woods Richardson has given up four home runs on the road, all of them in day games.
Carmen Mlodzinski (0-2) with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP as a reliever
Last Outing: 1.0 inning, 0 hits, 0 runs, two walks, one strikeout
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Twins-Pirates Odds
Minnesota Twins: -1.5 (+140)
Moneyline: -118
Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 (-170)
Moneyline: +100
Over: 8.5 (-122)
Under: 8.5 (+100)
How to Watch Twins vs. Pirates
Time: 4:05 PM ET/ 1:05 PM PT
TV: BSNO/SNP
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Twins Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Twins are 17th in the majors in runs scored this year while sitting 26th in opponent batting average, 24th in on-base percentage, and tenth in slugging. Ryan Jeffers has been great this year. He is hitting .239 on the year with a .329 on-base percentage. He has 14 doubles and 12 home runs, leading to a team-leading 36 RBIs and 25 runs scored. Carlos Santana is not hitting great but is driving in runs. He is hitting .222, with nine home runs and 25 RBIs. Santana is getting on base at a .304 rate though, and has scored 19 times. While not driving in a ton of runs, Willi Castro is scoring a lot. Castro is hitting .254 on the year, with a .332 on-base percentage. He has 12 doubles, four triples, and four home runs. leading to 16 RBIs. Still, he has scored 31 times.
In the last week, it has been Carlos Correra to led the team in terms of driving in runs. He is hitting just .211 in the last week, but he has driven in six runs while scoring once. Meanwhile, Carlos Santana has been great in the last week. In his last five games, he has hit .375 with a .412 on-base percentage. He has a double and two home runs, leading to three RBIs and two runs scored. Royce Lewis has played his first two games since the start of the season. He has five at-bats in the two games, hitting .400 with a .571 on-base percentage. The two hits are both solo home runs.
Why The Pirates Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Pirates are 20th in runs scored this year while sitting 23rd in batting average, 23rd in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging percentage. Bryan Reynolds has been great this year. He is hitting .255 this year, with 12 doubles and eight home runs. This has led to 34 RBIs and 23 runs scored. Connor Joe has also been solid this year. He is hitting .270 on the year with six home runs and 24 RBIS. He has also scored 34 times. Rounding out the top bats is Andrew McCutchen. McCutchen is hitting .228, with eight home runs and 20 RBIs.
It has been Bryan Reynolds running the offense in the last week as well. He is hitting .259 in his last six games, with a home run and five RBIs. Further, he has scored three times. Nick Gonzales has been great as well in the last week. He is hitting .320 in the last six games. Further, he has a home run and six RBIs while scoring three times. Ke'Bryan Hayes has been scoring a lot in the last week. He is hitting .391 in the last six games. Hayes has ah one run, four RBIs, and five runs scored. Further, he has stolen three bases in the last six games. Rounding out the major producers in the last week is Andrew McCutchen. He is hitting just .192 but has a .300 on-base percentage. McCutchen has just two RBIs in the last week but has scored five times.
Final Twins-Pirates Prediction & Pick
The Twins have been scoring well overall this year. While Simeon Woods Richardson has not been great, the Twins are providing solid run support for him. The Twins have lost just twice in nine games when he has been on the mound. In one of those games, he gave up just one run. The Twins will be able to score enough in this game to get the win.
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Final Twins-Pirates Prediction & Pick: Twins ML (-118)
