The Seattle Mariners visit Yankee Stadium for a four-game set this week and came out on top in Game 1 with a four-run comeback in the ninth inning. In this article, let's predict Game 3 of the series with Bryce Miller taking on Nestor Cortes Jr. The Yankees are beginning to catch fire, winning eight of their last ten. The comeback loss on Monday was their first in eight games. The Mariners have an identical two-game lead in the American League West as the Yankees do in the American League East. However, the Mariners have won just six of their last ten. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Mariners-Yankees prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.
Bryce Miller had a rough outing in his last start, allowing five earned runs and just one strikeout in 5 1/3 innings. He was on fire before that, allowing just six earned runs in his previous four starts, striking out 31. Despite Miller's success, the Mariners haven't been performing well on offense for him, as he has a 3-4 record with a 3.08 ERA. The Mariners have lost four of Miller's last five starts.
Nestor Cortes Jr has been improving after an up-and-down start to the season. Cortes Jr had a couple of scoreless outings at the beginning but also had some blowups with 4+ earned run performances. After a four-game stretch where he lost three of four decisions, Cortes Jr allowed zero earned runs and five hits against the White Sox in his previous start. Cortes Jr has been the weak link on a strong Yankees staff, so continued success will be integral for their World Series chances.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Mariners-Yankees Odds
Seattle Mariners: +1.5 (-176)
Moneyline: +122
New York Yankees: -1.5 (+146)
Moneyline: -144
Over: 7.5 (-124)
Under: 7.5 (+102)
How to Watch Mariners vs. Yankees
Time: 7:05 PM ET/4:05 PM PT
TV: RSN, Amazon Prime Video
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Mariners Will Cover The Spread/Win
As mentioned earlier, Nestor Cortes Jr has been the downfall of the Yankees rotation. The Yankees have lost two games in their last ten, one to a four-run ninth-inning comeback, and the other came in a Cortes Jr start. It won't get any easier against the Mariners, as they have been hitting lefties well over their past ten games. The Mariners have a .286 on-base percentage but are averaging 5.3 runs/nine, the same as the Yankees against righties.
Why The Yankees Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Yankees should be able to take advantage of Bryce Miller's sloppy pitching lately. The Yankees are batting .289 and averaging 5.4 runs/nine against righties over their last ten games. The Yankees are generating runs thanks to an above-average home run and walk rate. That is where Miller gets into trouble, as he's had poor control and had problems keeping balls out of the air in some of his starts.
The Mariners haven't been doing well away from their home ballpark, owning just an 11-12 record. The Yankees, as usual, are above average at Yankee Stadium with a 16-7 record.
Final Mariners-Yankees Prediction & Pick
This game feels like an even matchup. Both starting pitchers have struggled this season and could either have a stellar outing or a blow-up. We'll lean towards the Yankees' 8-2 record over their last ten and their record at Yankee Stadium to back them in this matchup. There's more reason to trust Cortes Jr, whose three scoreless outings this season have all come at Yankee Stadium.
Click here for more betting news and predictions
Final Mariners-Yankees Prediction & Pick: Yankees ML (-144)
Follow Us
Subscribe
