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Astros Yankees odds prediction pick

MLB odds: Astros vs. Yankees prediction, odds, pick, and more

The Houston Astros and New York Yankees face off for the second game of a three-game series on Wednesday. The Yankees took the first game of the series on Tuesday. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make an Astros-Yankees prediction and pick.

New York is 14-14 to start the season and currently stands in third place in the AL East. If you put $100 on every Yankees game this season, you’d be down $565.

Houston is 15-13 and in second place in the AL West. If you put $100 on every Astros game this season, you’d be down $133.

Here’s how sportsbooks have set the Astros-Yankees odds.

MLB Odds: Astros-Yankees Odds

Houston Astros ML (+126)

New York Yankees  ML (-136)

Over 9 Runs (-117)

Under 9 Runs (-103)

Why The Astros Could Win This Game

Houston sends righty Luis Garcia to the mound for his fourth start of the season.

Garcia holds an 0-3 record, but his numbers show this is mostly the result of some tough-luck losses. In 14.0 innings, Garcia has only allowed five earned runs and two homers.

The Astros pitcher is coming off a strong performance against the Seattle Mariners in his last outing, pitching five innings and allowing one earned run.

A good sign for Astros bettors is the fact that Garcia hasn’t been stung too hard by the long ball. 35% of Yankees RBIs this season have come via the homer, and limiting the big bats in the Bronx Bombers’ lineup is essential to getting the win.

Houston has a juicy matchup on the mound tonight in Jordan Montgomery. Nearly all of the Astros’ strongest batters are right-handed, and their numbers are slightly better this season in both batting average and OBP against lefties.

One Astros batter to watch is Carlos Correa. After being held hitless on Tuesday, the controversial shortstop has a shot to redeem himself versus a pitcher he has put together quality at-bats against. In seven plate appearances against Montgomery, Correa has four hits, including a homer.

Why The Yankees Could Win This Game

Jordan Montgomery has proven to be one of the most consistent Yankees starters this season in a year they have struggled.

The lefty has yet to deliver a start that truly impresses, but he hasn’t gotten shelled yet either. Montgomery has gone at least five innings in four of his five starts, including his last game in which he tossed five innings and gave up only two earned runs.

Astros batters have had limited success against Montgomery. Only Correa and Jose Altuve have more than five plate appearances against him. While Correa has shown success, Altuve is only 1-for-7 against Montgomery.

At the plate, the Yankees will have to continue to show patience against Garcia. Tuesday, they drew nine walks, moving them to second place for most free passes in the league. Garcia can be vulnerable to control issues and has handed out three walks in two of his three starts.

The Bronx Bomber to keep an eye on is Giancarlo Stanton, who is on a hot streak. Stanton had four hits on Tuesday, including a homer and a double. The star outfielder has now recorded a hit in 10 straight games.

Look for Stanton and Aaron Judge to work some counts early and try to get off to another hot start.

Final Astros-Yankees Prediction & Pick

The Yankees might be the benefit of a little recency bias here after smoking the Astros in the last game. Overall, Houston has been the better team to start the year and has still won six of its last seven games. Garcia is better than his numbers show, and I think the Astros should be able to tag Montgomery for a few runs early. Give me the Astros to even the series behind a solid start from Garcia and enough run support to finally get him a win.