The Dallas Mavericks enter the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament with a season marred by controversy and adversity. Recall that they confusingly traded away Luka Doncic. They also endured a series of injuries, including a season-ending ACL tear to Kyrie Irving. As such, the Mavs find themselves in a must-win situation against the Sacramento Kings. This is a team that has dominated them this season. Despite the odds, Dallas has the potential to defy expectations and secure a spot in the playoffs. The Play-In Tournament offers a new beginning, and the Mavs have a chance to rewrite their narrative.
Mavs ‘ 2024–25 Regular Season Recap
The 2024–25 NBA season has been tumultuous for the Dallas Mavericks. Finishing with a 39–43 record, they secured the 10th seed in the Western Conference. The season was highlighted by the controversial trade of Doncic to the Los Angeles Lakers. Not surprisngly, that sent shockwaves through the NBA community. In return, the Mavs received Anthony Davis, who suffered a groin injury in his debut and has been pretty much day-to-day ever since.

Adding to their woes, Kyrie Irving, who was expected to lead the team, suffered a season-ending ACL injury. Despite these setbacks, Dallas has remained competitive. Their resilience has admirably kept them in the playoff hunt. Their defense has been inconsistent, but their offense, bolstered by their newly acquired players, has shown moments of brilliance. Still, finishing 10th in a competitive West is no small feat. Now, they face the challenge of beating a well-coached Kings team. They have had the Mavs' number this season, having won all three regular-season matchups between the two.
Here we will discuss the four Dallas Mavericks bold predictions for 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament vs. Sacramento Kings.
1. Mavs Overcome Kings' Dominance
The Kings have been a formidable opponent for the Mavs this season, winning all three of their regular-season matchups. Their most recent victory came on March 3, 2025, with a decisive 122–98 win over Dallas. However, the Play-In Tournament presents a new opportunity for Dallas to reset and focus on what matters most—winning.
The Kings' defense has been vulnerable, ranking 20th in the league for points allowed. That is a chink in their armor. With the Mavs’ underrated but resilient offensive weapons like PJ Washington, Klay Thompson, and Spencer Dinwiddie, and the still-elite offensive prowess of Irving, Dallas can exploit this defensive weakness. Additionally, the Mavs’ offensive rhythm has been picking up recently. If they can break down Sacramento’s defense with sharp ball movement, spacing, and timely shooting, they have the firepower to pull off an upset in the Play-In Tournament.
Anthony Davis’s tenure with the Mavs has been marred by injury. In fact, he has played just nine games for Dallas. However, the Play-In Tournament could mark his return to form. Davis has been working hard to regain his rhythm, and with the stakes as high as they are, expect him to elevate his game. His presence in the paint will be crucial, especially against a Kings team that has struggled defensively to protect the rim.
Davis’s ability to score in the post and stretch the floor with his mid-range game can help the Mavs create mismatches. More importantly, his defensive versatility will give Dallas a much-needed edge. With the Kings being a potent offensive team, Davis's shot-blocking and defensive awareness could disrupt their flow, limiting someone like Domantas Sabonis. If Davis can stay healthy and make an immediate impact, he could be the difference-maker.
Article Continues Below3. Mavs' Bench Steps Up
Depth has been a concern for the Mavs throughout the season. That said, the Play-In Tournament offers an opportunity for the bench to shine. Players like Max Christie, Daniel Gafford, and Najo Marshall can provide an offensive spark. Their ability to contribute offensively will be vital, especially if the starters face challenges. A strong performance from the bench could tip the scales in favor of the Mavs. If the bench players can keep up the intensity on both ends of the floor, they can help secure a win and push Dallas closer to their playoff goal.
4. Mavs' Defense Surprises
Sure, the Mavs' defense has been inconsistent throughout the regular season. However, the Play-In Tournament could see them rise to the occasion. The Kings’ offense, led by Sabonis, Zach LaVine, and DeMar DeRozan, is potent. On the other hand, the Mavs have the defensive tools to contain them. Dallas has a number of players who can step up and challenge Fox’s quickness and Sabonis’s ability to create opportunities. If Dallas executes a disciplined defensive strategy, focusing on limiting the Kings’ top scorers and making other players beat them, they can neutralize Sacramento’s offensive threats.

Expect Mavs head coach Jason Kidd to implement a game plan that involves double-teaming LaVine and DeRozan when necessary. They should also trap the pick-and-roll and protect the rim with Davis. A disciplined defensive effort could surprise the Kings and tilt the game in the Mavs' favor.
Looking Ahead
The Dallas Mavericks face a daunting task in the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament against the Sacramento Kings. However, with strategic adjustments, a return to form for Anthony Davis, contributions from the bench, and a focused defensive effort, the Mavs have the potential to defy expectations and secure a playoff spot. The upcoming game is not just a battle for postseason positioning. It’s also an opportunity for the Mavericks to prove their resilience and determination in the face of adversity. This team has shown time and time again that they can thrive under pressure, and with their backs against the wall, expect them to come out firing, ready to make a statement and prove that they belong in the playoff mix.