NFL odds: Dolphins vs. Jaguars Week 6 prediction, odds, pick, and more
The Miami Dolphins will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars across the pond to help kick off Week 6 of the NFL season. It’s time to continue our NFL odds series and make a Dolphins-Jaguars prediction and pick.
Both of these teams desperately need a win here. The Dolphins have looked totally inept ever since quarterback Tua Tagovailoa landed on injured reserve, a statement that’s proven by their 0-4 record without Tagovailoa. Miami had playoff aspirations heading into this season, and they need to turn things around right away if they want to hold on to those dreams. This game against Jacksonville is the perfect opportunity to get things back on the right track, as the Jaguars have looked totally incompetent. Aside from the Urban Meyer debacle hitting the locker room, Jacksonville just hasn’t been playing very good football. They’re winless for a reason.
Here’s how the bookmakers have set the Dolphins-Jaguars odds for Sunday morning’s game.
NFL Odds: Dolphins-Jaguars Odds
Miami Dolphins -3.5 (-110)
Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 (-110)
Over 47 points (-110)
Under 47 points (-110)
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Why The Dolphins Could Cover The Spread
To be fair to Miami, they’ve faced a horrible schedule ever since losing their starting quarterback. Three out of four teams they have faced are expected to be playoff teams, and the loss to the Indianapolis Colts should age pretty well. This team isn’t as bad as many people think, and their coaching staff has a significant advantage in this game. Brian Flores is one of the best young head coaches in the NFL, and he looks like a Super Bowl winner when compared to Urban Meyer. The turmoil in Jacksonville’s locker room won’t help as they travel halfway across the world to face one of the more disciplined teams in the NFL. Expect the Jaguars to be out-coached by a significant margin here.
This matchup is the softest one that backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett will face this season. Jacksonville has allowed three, 300-yard passing days this season, and Houston Texans quarterback Tyrod Taylor hung 291 yards on them to nearly make it four. The Jaguars are clearly one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL, partially because they struggle to rush the passer. Jacksonville is tied for second-to-last in sacks per game, something that will help this Dolphins unit tremendously. Expect Brissett to have an efficient, easy day throwing the football and the Miami offense to move well.
Why The Jaguars Could Cover The Spread
This could be the game we finally see rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence put together a breakout passing day. Miami’s secondary has been questionable at best, and they’ve combined with a shaky defensive line to form a very questionable defense overall.
The Dolphins haven’t given up all that much yardage through the air, but that’s partially because they’ve been losing by so much there just isn’t any point in their opponents throwing the football. At best, Miami has allowed very efficient passing days to opposing quarterbacks, and at worst they’ve been completely destroyed by them. Lawrence should be able to move the ball well through the air here.
Jacksonville hasn’t been doing very many things right lately, but their run game has looked pretty good in the last couple of games. Starting running back James Robinson has averaged around 6 yards per carry over the last three contests, and he has a great matchup here. The Dolphins allow 4.4 yards per carry to opposing running backs while also ranking inside the top ten in rushing yards allowed. Robinson and backup Carlos Hyde should combine for more than 25 carries in this one, and it’s fair to expect a majority of those carries to be successful.
Final Dolphins-Jaguars Prediction & Pick
This is a fairly simple pick. There’s no reason to believe that a Jacksonville team that has countless problems in the locker room and on the field can cover in this one. Miami is a good team with a good coach, and they’ll remind the NFL world of that here.
FINAL DOLPHINS-JAGUARS PICK: Miami Dolphins -3.5 (-110)