The Philadelphia Phillies (25-30) will try to avoid being swept on the road as they visit the New York Mets (29-27). This game will continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Mets prediction and pick while we let you know how to watch, as well.
Philadelphia is hitting just .177 in the two games played in this series. Kody Clemens has three hits in six at-bats to lead the Phillies, but he is the only player batting above .300 in the two games (besides Bryce Harper who has only played in one game). Edmundo Sosa has hit the only home run for the Phillies while Brandon March has the team's lone double. On the mound, the Phillies have been good. They have a 3.38 ERA in 16 innings pitched. They have allowed only 11 hits and nine of those came off the starters.
The Mets pitching staff has been great this series. They have allowed just one run in 18 innings pitched. Both starting pitchers have notched a quality start in the series. The Mets bullpen has thrown five innings and struck out eight while walking just one. New York has walked only two batters in the two games and David Robertson has two saves. At the plate, Starling Marte, Eduardo Escobar, and Mark Canha have two hits in the series. Canha and Francisco Lindor have hit a home run, as well. Canha also leads the team with four RBI.
Taijuan Walker and Max Scherzer are the starting pitchers for the third and final game of this series.
Here are the Phillies-Mets MLB odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Phillies-Mets Odds
Philadelphia Phillies: +1.5 (-140)
New York Mets: -1.5 (+116)
Over: 8.5 (-120)
Under: 8.5 (-102)
How To Watch Phillies vs. Mets
TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia, SportsNet New York
Stream: MLB TV Subscription
Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10 PM PT
*Watch MLB games LIVE with fuboTV (click for a free trial)*
Why The Phillies Could Cover The Spread
Walker has been having an alright season. He has an ERA above five, but he does have a 4-2 record. In 11 starts this season, the Phillies have coverd a +1.5 spread seven times. The Mets are bottom half of the league in batting average, so Walker has a good matchup. The Phillies have been able to limit the damage in this series, so Walker should be no different. If Walker can have a good game in this one, the Phillies wil cover the spread. However, he is going to need to pick up his offense in a big way.
Why The Mets Could Cover The Spread
Scherzer gives the Mets a chance to win every time he takes the mound. New York is 6-2 when Scherzer pitches and Mad Max himself is 4-2. Scherzer has given up one run or zero runs in five of his eight starts this season. In five of his six wins, Scherzer has helped the Mets cover a -1.5 spread. With Scherzer taking the bump, the Mets are always going to be a threat to cover the spread.
Scherzer ranks above average in xBA and chase rate. He does not allow many hard hit balls, and with his offspeed being so sharp, hitters tend to chase pitches out of the zone. The Phillies have the second highest chase percentage and 10th highest whiff percentage. Philadelphia will chase the pitches out of the zone and they will swing and miss. Scherzer should come into this game with a lot of confidence and shut down the Phillies.
Final Phillies-Mets Prediction & Pick
I will not be betting against Max Scherzer in this one. Expect the Mets to cover the spread and complete the sweep.
Final Phillies-Mets Prediction & Pick: Mets -1.5 (+116), Under 8.5 (-102)
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