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The Fresno State Bulldogs are set to face the Colorado State Rams. Check out our college basketball odds series, which includes our Fresno State Colorado State prediction, odds, and pick.
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Fresno State will not be an at-large NCAA Tournament team. If the Bulldogs make the Big Dance, it will come by winning the Mountain West Conference Tournament in early March. Fresno State lost to California, San Francisco, and Utah in nonconference play without grabbing high-end wins to boost its resume. In Mountain West play, Fresno State has been competitive, but the Bulldogs let their biggest games slip away. They lost in overtime to Boise State at home, and to Wyoming by two points this past Sunday. If Fresno State had won each of those games, its overall NCAA Tournament profile would be different. College basketball odds analysts would have set the Fresno State Colorado State odds differently.
Fresno State will be a desperate team coming into Fort Collins for this game, precisely because it needs to grab top-tier wins to build confidence for the Mountain West Conference Tournament in a few months. Keep that in mind when making a Fresno State Colorado State prediction.
Colorado State was one of the last teams in the country to lose its first game this season. The Rams made it into early January before dropping their first game this season. Colorado State was 16-1 before losing to UNLV and Wyoming in consecutive games. The Rams rebounded by beating San Diego State and Nevada and sit at 18-3, very much in line for an NCAA Tournament at-large bid. However, a losing skid could endanger their position. They did beat Saint Mary's, but they haven't beaten a large number of NCAA Tournament teams. As long as they keep winning the games they are supposed to win — such as this one — they should be fine. That's part of the background for anyone sizing up a Fresno State Colorado State pick.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Fresno State-Colorado State odds:
College Basketball odds: Fresno State-Colorado State Odds
Fresno State: +6.5 (-112)
Colorado State: -6.5 (-108)
Over: 130.5 (-114)
Under: 130.5 (-106)
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Why Fresno State Could Cover the Spread
The Bulldogs play really tough defense. Even in the big games they have lost this season, they did not allow opponents to thrive at the offensive end of the floor. They can certainly limit Colorado State's offense in this game.
Why Colorado State Could Cover the Spread
The Rams have bounced back from the one bumpy stretch of their season. They led San Diego State by a huge margin a week ago before letting that lead slip away. If the Rams are more vigilant this time around, they can preserve a fat lead and win comfortably.
Final Fresno State-Colorado State Prediction & Pick
Colorado State might win outright, but Fresno State plays opponents close and tough. The Bulldogs should be able to keep this game within a margin of two possessions, which is six points.
Final Fresno State-Colorado State Pick: Fresno State +6.5
