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The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees battle in a much-anticipated matchup between two of MLB's best teams at Yankee Stadium. The series started on Friday night, with the Yankees attempting to extend their eight-game win streak. The Dodgers haven't been in as good of form, winning just six of their last ten games. Despite the differing form, the Dodgers hold a comfortable eight-game lead in the National League West, while the Yankees are just 4.5 games ahead of the Orioles. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Dodgers-Yankees prediction and pick.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Projected Starters
Gavin Stone vs. Nestor Cortes Jr
Gavin Stone (6-2) with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP.
Last Start: vs Rockies, 5 IP, 6 SO, 4 H, 2 BB, 0 ER
2024 Road Splits: (3-1) with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP.
Nestor Cortes Jr (3-4) with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP.
Last Start: @ Giants, 4 1/3 IP, 7 SO, 7 H, 0 BB, 3 ER
2024 Home Splits: (3-1) with a 1.12 ERA and a 0.72 WHIP.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Dodgers-Yankees Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+162)
Moneyline: +102
New York Yankees: +1.5 (-198)
Moneyline: -120
Over: 9 (-102)
Under: 9 (-120)
How to Watch Dodgers vs. Yankees
Time: 7:35 PM ET/4:35 PM PT
Article Continues Below
TV: YES Network, SNLA, MLB.TV
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Dodgers Will Cover The Spread/Win
It's an unstoppable force vs. an immovable object situation, with the Dodgers taking on Nestor Cortes Jr in this matchup. Cortes Jr's numbers at Yankee Stadium are impeccable, but the Dodgers are nearly unstoppable against left-handed pitching. The Dodgers have a .319 average and .368 on-base percentage against lefties over their last ten games but averaged 5.3 runs/nine. Is the lack of runs with these averages a sign of bad luck or poor situational hitting? We'll see if the Dodgers can score more runs, but the friendly hitting confines of Yankee Stadium could help improve that process.
Gavin Stone has two straight scoreless outings for the Dodgers, albeit against below-average offensive teams like the Mets and Rockies. It won't be as easy against the Yankees, but they could benefit from the unfortunate injury to Juan Soto. Soto left Thursday night's game with left arm discomfort, which puts his availability for this series in question.
Why The Yankees Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Dodgers may own the pitching matchup on Friday night with Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the mound. However, Nestor Cortes Jr puts the Yankees in a position to return the favor on Saturday. Cortes Jr is lights out at home, owning a 1.12 ERA over five starts at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees have been mashing against right-handed pitchers, or seemingly any pitcher, over the last ten games. Against righties, they have a .343 on-base percentage and .319 average, with 6.9 runs/nine.
Final Dodgers-Yankees Prediction & Pick
The recent form of Gavin Stone and the Yankee Stadium dominance by Nestor Cortes Jr keeps the total low for this game. Many expect a low-scoring matchup in this game, but these two offenses excel against the corresponding pitching handednesses. Gavin Stone hasn't faced an elite offense yet this season, and Cortes Jr's opponents at home have also been below average.
It may be a chance to take value on the total and back two elite offenses in a hitter-friendly ballpark. We can expect Soto to be back in time for this game, but if he will miss extended time, it'd be okay to avoid the over.
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Final Dodgers-Yankees Prediction & Pick: Over 9 (-102)
