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The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Golden State Warriors in a premier Western Conference battle. It's time to continue our NBA odds series and make a Mavericks-Warriors prediction and pick.
Both of these teams are in the middle of great seasons. Superstar Luka Doncic has led the Mavericks to 27-20 record, which currently has Dallas in the fifth seed in the hotly contested Western Conference. The Warriors own the second-best record in the NBA with 34 wins and 13 losses, only trailing the Phoenix Suns and the first seed by 3.5 games. This game has the potential to be one of the most entertaining of the season, so let's get straight into the pick.
Here are the Mavericks-Warriors NBA odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
NBA Odds: Mavericks-Warriors Odds
Dallas Mavericks: +3.5 (-110)
Golden State Warriors: -3.5 (-110)
Over: 210.5 (-110)
Under: 210.5 (-110)
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Why The Mavericks Could Cover The Spread
Dallas is one of the hottest teams in the league right now. They've won eleven of their last thirteen games, including impressive victories over the Chicago Bulls, Memphis Grizzlies, and the Warriors. The last time these teams played, Dallas crushed Golden State by 17 points. The Warriors were playing without Klay Thompson, but other than that, they were completely healthy. Now the Mavs enter this game as underdogs with all the momentum in the world.
We're approaching midseason, which means the injury bug is beginning to ramp up around the league. The Warriors are no exception. Power forward Draymond Green has already been ruled out for this game, and Thompson will likely sit this one out with a minor knee injury. Key backup Andre Iguodala will also miss this contest. That's three important players that the Warriors will be missing in this game. So, the bench will have to play meaningful minutes against a Dallas team that's playing elite basketball.
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Why The Warriors Could Cover The Spread
Even with the variety of injuries they're dealing with, this is a dangerous Golden State team, particularly on defense. The Warriors only allow 101 points per game while ranking inside the top five in the NBA in almost every important defensive category. Despite their recent success, the Mavericks aren't a particularly intimidating offensive team. Almost all of their offensive metrics place them as an average to slightly below average unit. Most games are good matchups for this Warriors defense, but this one is a particularly good one.
Golden State has been one of the best teams in the league when it comes to covering the spread. The Warriors are 25-19-3 against the spread overall, and 15-8-2 ATS when they play at home. The Mavericks are only 10-10 against the spread when they play on the road, so Golden State's home court advantage will certainly play a big part in this game.
Final Mavericks-Warriors Prediction & Pick
An argument can be made for either team to cover here. This game will be too close and unpredictable to confidently place money on either side. Instead, the under is the best pick. The strong defense of Golden State will lead the way to the under cashing with ease.
Final Mavericks-Warriors Prediction & Pick: Under: 210.5 (-110)
