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The Toronto Blue Jays needed a successful series at home against the Baltimore Orioles to get back into the American League East race. The goal got off to a bad start on Monday night, as the Orioles dominated the Jays for a 7-2 victory. The Orioles used the long ball to finish the job, hitting four home runs, including Austin Hays' first two of the season. Let's predict the third of a four-game set scheduled for Wednesday night. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with an Orioles-Blue Jays prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.
Albert Suarez is in line to get the start for the Orioles, and he's been a force in his first MLB season since 2017. Suarez was a reliever with the Giants, appearing in 18 games with a 5.12 ERA, but spent the last seven seasons in Japan and Korea. He returned with a vengeance for the Orioles this season. Suarez struggled in the season's first start, but after seven appearances in relief, he has just one earned run over his last two games since returning to the rotation.
Jose Berrios has been the victim of poor run support over his last five starts. The Blue Jays are 2-3 over that span, but Berrios' only poor outing was an eight-earned-run game against the Phillies. The Jays scored just 11 runs over his last five outings. Berrios has some good numbers this season despite the poor outing against the Phillies. He is 5-4 with a 2.78 ERA.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Orioles-Blue Jays Odds
Baltimore Orioles: -1.5 (+164)
Moneyline: +108
Toronto Blue Jays: +1.5 (-200)
Moneyline: -126
Over: 8 (-110)
Under: 8 (-110)
How to Watch Orioles vs. Blue Jays
Time: 7:05 PM ET/4:05 PM PT
TV: MASN2, Sportsnet
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Orioles Will Cover The Spread/Win
It's a bad start for the Blue Jays at home against the Orioles this season, as Baltimore has been a force at the Rogers Center over the last two seasons. The Orioles won six of seven games in Toronto last season and were 10-3 overall. These teams faced off in Baltimore for a three-game set earlier in May, but the teams split the series 1-1 after one game had a rain postponement.
Albert Suarez isn't as comfortable at Camden Yards this season, with a 2.41 ERA over 18 2/3 innings. He's been much better on the road, which could continue against a below-average offensive team like the Blue Jays. Suarez has a 0.57 ERA over 15 2/3 innings away from Baltimore.
Why The Blue Jays Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Blue Jays can be confident sending Berrios to the mound in this game, as he's won two of his last three starts against the Orioles. Berrios had a quality seven-inning outing in Baltimore this season, allowing just three hits and two earned runs. The outing in Baltimore was impressive considering Berrios has been bad away from the Rogers Center this season. The start in Baltimore may have been his best on the road this season.
Berrios is 3-1 at home this year, allowing just six earned runs over 33 2/3 innings. The Jays have won three of his four starts at home this season.
Final Orioles-Blue Jays Prediction & Pick
In this game, we have a visiting pitcher who loves pitching on the road and a home pitcher who loves pitching in his ballpark. One area of concern for this bet is that the Orioles are averaging 6.5 runs/nine against righties over their last ten games, but Berrios has already shut down the Orioles once this season, and we'll trust him to do it again in this game.
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Final Orioles-Blue Jays Prediction & Pick: Under 8 (-110)
