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Ranger Suarez heads to the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies as they face the Baltimore Orioles. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Orioles prediction and pick.
Phillies-Orioles Projected Starters
Ranger Suarez vs. Kyle Bradish
Ranger Suarez (10-1) with a 1.81 ERA and a .85 WHIP
Last Start: Suarez picked up his tenth win of the year in his last start. He went 5.1 innings, giving up eight hits, and a walk. This resulted in just two earned runs and a 7-2 win for the Phillies.
2024 Road Splits: On the road, Suarez has been solid. He is 5-1 in six starts, having a 2.04 ERA. He also has an opponent batting average of just .167 in those games.
Kyle Bradish (2-0) with a 2.62 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP
Last Start: Kyle Bradish went six innings in his last start. He struck out nine and gave up just one hit in a win over the Rays.
2024 Home Splits: Bradish has not been as good at home as on the road. In his three starts at home, he has a 6.35 ERA and an opponent batting average of .306.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Phillies-Orioles Odds
Philadelphia Phillies: +1.5 (-205)
Moneyline: +108
Baltimore Orioles: -1.5 (+168)
Moneyline: -126
Over: 7.5 (-128)
Under: 7.5 (+104)
How to Watch Phillies vs. Orioles
Time: 7:05 PM ET/ 4:05 PM PT
TV: NBCSP/MASN
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Phillies Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Phillies are fourth in runs scored, while sitting sixth in batting average, fourth in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging. Alec Bohm leads the way for the Phillis. He is hitting .286 this year with a .341 on-base percentage. He has 23 doubles and six home runs, leading to 52 RBIs and 31 runs scored. Bryce Harper leads the team in home runs. He is hitting .282 with a team-leading .393 on-base percentage. He has 15 home runs and 12 doubles. This has led to 46 RBIs and 38 runs scored. Leading the team in runs scored is Kyle Schwarber. He is hitting .241 this year, with 13 home runs leading to 38 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
While the Phillies have their big bats, it is Whit Merrifield who has led the team in RBIs in the last week. He is hitting .273 in the last week with a home run and five RBIs. Heurter has scored once, on a home run. Kyle Schwzrber is also hitting well. He is hitting .375 in the last week, with two home runs and three RBIs. He has also scored four times. Nick Castellanos has also scored four times in the last week. He is hitting .235 in the last week, with a double, a triple, and a home run. This has led to just one RBI though.
Current members of the Phillies have 26 at-bats against Kyle Bradish. They are hitting just .192 with a .250 on-base percentage. Edmundo Sosa has one hit, which is a solo home run, leading to his one RBI. Nick Castellanos also has an RBI, going one for three against Bradish.
Why The Orioles Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Orioles are third in the majors in runs scored while sitting eighth in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and first in slugging. Gunnar Henderson has led the way this year. He is hitting .273 this year with a .373 on-base percentage. He has 21 home runs with 47 RBIs on the year. Rutschman has also scored a team-leading 55 times in the season. Adley Rutshman has also been solid this year. He is hitting .298 on the season with 13 home runs and a team-leading 50 RBIs. He has scored 35 times. Jordan Westburg is also producing. He is hitting .274 with 10 home runs and 39 RBIs. He has stolen six bases and scored 55 times. Rounding out the top bats is Anthony Santander. He is hitting just .225 but has 14 home runs and 27 RBIs this year while scoring 35 times.
Adley Rutschman has been on fire as of late. In the last week. He is hitting .240 with three home runs and ten RBIs. He has also scored three times. Ryan O'Hearn is also hitting well. He is hitting .333 in the last week with two home runs and six RBIs. Further, he has scored four times. Gunnar Henderson rounded out the hottest bats in the lineup. He is hitting .360 on the year, with two home runs and five RBIs. He has scored eight times in the last week.
Current members of the Orioles have 32 career at-bats against Ranger Surarez. They are hitting .250 with three RBIs. All three come from Adley Rutschman. Rutshman is one for three with a home run and three RBIs. The only other extra-base hits are doubles by James McCann and Jordan Westburg. Westburg is one for three against Suarez, while McCann is one for five.
Final Phillies-Orioles Prediction & Pick
Ranger Suarez has been the best pitcher in the majors this year. He is first in wins, ERA, and WHIP in the majors. While the Orioles are playing well, and have their solid pitcher going, that will be the difference in this one. Take the Phillies to get the win on the road.
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Final Phillies-Orioles Prediction & Pick: Phillies ML (+108)
