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The Yankees make the trip to Minnesota to face the Twins! These two teams have been playing well with each being the second and fourth best teams in the AL. These two teams are having a great year, especially with the Twins getting red-hot. Our MLB odds series has our Yankees-Twins prediction, odds, and pick for Wednesday.
The Yankees have come out of the gate extremely hot with a 27-15 record. They are the second-best team in the AL only behind the Orioles, who are also in the same division. Their bats are in the top 10 of the MLB in terms of overall quality. They are also second in the league in pitching behind only the Red Sox. The Yankees have been night and day different this season after how bad they were last year. Juan Soto is a difference maker they added to go with quality sluggers in Anthony Rizzo, Aaron Judge, Gleyber Torres, Giancarlo Stanton, and Anthony Volpe. Then on the mound, Nestor Cortes, Luis Gil, Clarke Schmidt, and Carlos Rodon have all been varying degrees of good for the Yankees. The Yankees have been great, but have a tough matchup against the Twins in this spot, especially on the road.
The Twins have been on a hot streak recently and sit with a 24-16 record, thanks to them winning four out of their last five games. The Twins have been average on offense, ranking in the middle of the pack behind the plate. Their pitching has not been great and closer to the bottom of the league. Alex Kirilloff, Edouard Julien, Byron Buxton, Willi Castro, Carlos Santana, and Ryan Jeffers are some notable names on this Minnesota offense despite being around average. On the mound, Joe Ryan, Pablo Lopez, and Bailey Ober are the names to watch as standouts on a pitching staff that needs to play better. The Twins have been red-hot recently and seems like they are finally putting things together after a slow start to start the year.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Yankees-Twins Odds
New York Yankees: -1.5 (+114)
Moneyline: -138
Minnesota Twins: +1.5 (-137)
Moneyline: +118
Over: 8 (-115)
Under: 8 (-105)
How to Watch Yankees vs. Twins
Time: 7:40 pm ET
TV: Prime Video / Bally Sports South / YES Network
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Yankees Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Yankees are starting Marcus Stroman on the mound where he has a 2-2 record, a 3.80 ERA, and a 1.50 WHIP. Stroman has allowed 21 runs on 42 hits with 22 walks and 40 strikeouts. He has started in eight games this season and the Yankees have gone 5-3 in those games. In his last start, he pitched 5.2 innings and allowed four runs on nine hits with two walks and five strikeouts in a Yankees loss. Stroman has been solid, but inconsistent for the Yankees at times this season, but he gets a good matchup against an average-best Twins offense.
The biggest key for the Yankees is their offense, especially after how much they struggled last year. They are ranked eighth in the MLB in team batting average at .249 after finishing last season with a .227 batting average. Twelve total Yankees have hit at least one home run for a rejuvenated offense. Juan Soto has been the key, leading the way in most batting categories next to Aaron Judge. Soto leads the way in batting average at .314, in RBI at 34, in OBP at .414, and in total hits at 50. Judge then leads in home runs at 10. They get a decent matchup against Pablo Lopez on the mound for the Twins.
Why The Twins Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Twins are starting Pablo Lopez on the mound where he has a 4-2 record, a 3.89 ERA, and a 0.98 WHIP. He has allowed 20 runs on 35 hits with eight walks and 55 strikeouts through 44 innings. The Twins are 5-3 in the eight games that he's started this season so far. In his last start, he pitched 6.1 innings and allowed one run on four hits with zero walks and 10 strikeouts in a Twins win. Lopez has been very good this season, but he has a tough matchup against the Yankees in this game.
The offense for the Twins has been inconsistent, and average to start the season. They are 15th in the MLB in team-batting average at .240 after having a team-batting average of .243 last season. Willi Castro and Ryan Jeffers lead the way for the Twins in most of the batting categories. Jeffers leads the way in batting average at .292, in nine home runs, in RBI at 30, and in OBP at .371. Willi Castro leads the way in total hits at 37. They have a tough matchup in this spot against the Yankees and Marcus Stroman, but he has been inconsistent at times this season.
Final Yankees-Twins Prediction & Pick
The Yankees are the better team, but the Twins have been red-hot, winning four out of their last five games. The pitching difference is close between Stroman and Lopez, but Lopez has a slight edge. Lopez is a difference maker and should help slow down this Yankees offense. Expect the Twins to cover and maybe win at home in this game.
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Final Yankees-Twins Prediction & Pick: Twins +1.5 (-137)
