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The Brewers make the trip to Detroit to face the Tigers! The Brewers are one of the best teams in the NL but need to bounce back after a series sweep. The Tigers have been average this season and need to find more consistency. They most recently lost a game that broke a three-game winning streak. Our MLB odds series has our Brewers-Tiger prediction, odds, and pick for Friday.
Brewers-Tigers Projected Starters
Freddy Peralta vs. Casey Mize
Freddy Peralta (4-3) with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP
Last Start: Pitched five innings and gave up three runs on four hits with one walk and seven strikeouts in a Brewers win.
2024 Road Splits: (2-3) 3.63 ERA
Casey Mize (1-3) with a 4.70 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP
Last Start: Pitched four innings and gave up three runs on five hits with four walks and four strikeouts in a Tigers win.
2024 Home Splits: (0-1) 3.29 ERA
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Brewers-Tigers Odds
Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 (-104)
Moneyline: -172
Detroit Tigers: +1.5 (-115)
Moneyline: +144
Over: 8 (-110)
Under: 8 (-110)
How to Watch Brewers vs. Tigers
Time: 4:10 pm ET
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin / Bally Sports Detroit
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Brewers Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Brewers have been very good this season with a 36-26 record which is good for fourth in the NL. They come into this series having lost three straight in a sweep against the Phillies. Their offense has been great at top five in the league, while their pitching has been a top 10 unit. William Contreras, Rhys Hoskins, Sal Frelick, Brice Turang, Jackson Chourio, and Willy Adames have led the way for the Brewers behind the plate, making this offense extremely hard to play against, regardless of the team. Freddy Peralta and Colin Rea have been the biggest keys on the mound with both being great and Robert Gasser has also been solid recently.
The Brewers are starting Freddy Peralta as pitcher where he has a 4-3 record, a 3.74 ERA, and a 1.05 WHIP. He has allowed 28 runs on 50 hits with 21 walks and 89 strikeouts through 67.1 innings. In his 12 appearances this season, the Brewers are 8-4. Peralta is one of the best pitchers for the Brewers and he gets a favorable matchup against a Tigers offense that has struggled this season.
The offense for the Brewers has been red-hot so far this season. The Brewers are fifth in team batting average at .254, as compared to finishing last season with a .254 batting average. William Contreras and Rhys Hoskins lead the way for the Brewers in most batting categories. Contreras leads with a batting average of .313, in RBI at 44, in OBP at .382, and in total hits at 78. Hoskins leads in home runs at 10. This is a solid matchup for this offense against Mize and how inconsistent he has been.
Why The Tigers Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Tigers have been inconsistent on their way to a 31-31 record this season. Their bats have struggled this season, while their pitching has been great. Riley Greene, Mark Canha, Kerry Carpenter, Javier Baez, and Spencer Torkelson have been able to stand out in an offense that has struggled up to this point. In comparison, the pitching has been great. Their ace has been Tarik Skubal who has been nothing short of dominant for them so far to start the season and then Jack Flaherty and Reese Olson have also been very good behind him. The Tigers' pitching needs to carry them in this matchup.
The Tigers are starting Casey Mize as pitcher where he has a 1-3 record, a 4.70 ERA, and a 1.49 WHIP. Through 53.2 innings, Mize has allowed 30 runs on 64 hits with 16 walks and 38 strikeouts. The Tigers are 7-4 in the 11 games that he has started this season. Mize has struggled recently for the Tigers and a matchup against this Brewers offense does not help at all and is going to be difficult.
The offense for the Tigers has struggled this season. The Tigers are 22nd in the MLB in team batting average at .231 after having a batting average of .236 last season. Matt Vierling, Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene, and Mark Canha lead the way in the batting categories for the Tigers. Greene leads the way in home runs at 11 and in total hits at 55. Vierling leads the way in batting average at .281, Carpenter leads the way in RBI at 29, and Canha leads the way in OBP at .346. Peralta will present a tough challenge for this offense in this matchup.
Final Brewers-Tigers Prediction & Pick
The Brewers need a bounce-back game after getting swept by the Phillies. This is a good place for that with their offense matching up against Mize at pitcher. Peralta is one of the better pitchers for the Brewers too. The Brewers have the offensive advantage and the pitching advantage in this game. They should win and cover in this game against the Tigers on the road.
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Final Brewers-Tigers Prediction & Pick: Brewers -1.5 (-105)
