The Kansas State Wildcats are set to face the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Check out our college basketball odds series, which includes our Kansas State Texas Tech prediction, odds, and pick.

Kansas State badly needs this game if it wants to have a realistic hope of making the NCAA Tournament. It's true that the Big 12 is a strong top-to-bottom conference. College basketball odds experts know that. However, Kansas State has lost a lot of games and won't get a free pass based on the Big 12's strength. A 14-14 record just isn't good enough. K-State needs at least three wins, if not four, to make a realistic case.

KSU has not beaten Baylor or Kansas, so a sweep of Texas Tech would be really valuable in enhancing the Wildcats' profile. This is something to think about when making a Kansas State Texas Tech prediction.

Year after year, it seems that Kansas State coach Bruce Weber is on the hot seat, and he does just enough to stay on in the Heartland. Patience is wearing thin for Weber, who guided Illinois to the national championship game in 2005 against North Carolina and has not been back to the Final Four in the subsequent 17 years. He made the Elite Eight at Kansas State in 2018 but wasn't able to get the program to take the last step and snap a Final Four drought which goes back to 1964. With Kansas State likely to miss the NCAA Tournament, Weber is legitimately on the hot seat in Manhattan. Keep that in mind when making a Kansas State Texas Tech pick.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders did lose to Kansas State earlier in the season, but one has to remember that Tech played a Saturday morning game that day versus the Wildcats, after having played Thursday and Tuesday of the same week. The Thursday game that week was a COVID-19 makeup game. Tech was tired when it faced Kansas State.

The Kansas State Texas Tech odds are what they are because Tech has swept Baylor and split with Kansas. The Red Raiders can compete with any team in the country. Coach Mark Adams has created one of the best and toughest defenses in the country. Even if the shots don't fall, Texas Tech can stay in games because its defense is so consistent and reliable. Adams is the clear favorite to be named Big 12 Coach of the Year. He has enabled Tech to not miss a beat since Chris Beard left Lubbock to coach the Texas Longhorns.

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Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Kansas State-Texas Tech odds:

College Basketball Odds: Kansas State-Texas Tech Odds

Kansas State: +12 (-110)

Texas Tech: -12 (-110)

Over: 133.5 (-110)

Under: 133.5 (-110)

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Why Kansas State Could Cover the Spread

The Wildcats are getting 12 points, and Texas Tech does not have a reliably consistent offense. That's a recipe for a close game, which is what the first game between these teams looked like.

Why Texas Tech Could Cover the Spread

The Red Raiders were worn out the last time they faced Kansas State. Now they are coming off a loss (on Saturday to TCU). They are at home. They want to build their NCAA Tournament seed. They have every incentive to win big and cover the spread.

Final Kansas State-Texas Tech Prediction & Pick

Texas Tech will win the game, but Kansas State knows how to put up a fight and compete. Twelve points is a lot. Kansas State will be closer than that.

Final Kansas State-Texas Tech Pick: Kansas State +12