PFL Week 4: Valentin Moldavsky vs. Linton Vassell continues on the main card with a fight between Denis Goltsov and Thiago Santos in the heavyweight division. Goltsov got back on track after his PFL championship loss with a third-round TKO victory meanwhile, Santos lost his first fight in this year's PFL tournament and is looking to get back into the win column this Thursday night. With that said, check out our PFL odds series for our Goltsov-Santos prediction and pick.

Denis Goltsov (33-8) came off his 2023 PFL Championship loss in a big way with a win in his first fight of the new season beating PFL newcomer Linton Vassell by third-round TKO. Goltsov is a longtime PFL veteran and is hoping his luck is finally going to change in this season of the PFL tournament as he will be looking to get over the hump when he takes on Thiago Santos to secure his spot in the PFL playoffs.

Thiago Santos (22-12) had his first chance at a PFL championship last season in the league's light heavyweight division but that ended abruptly after a failed drug test got him kicked out of the regular season. Also, things didn't get off to a hot start in this season either as he dropped a decision to Yoel Romero. Santos is going to make up ground in a big way with a finish if he wants to keep his playoff hopes alive when he takes on Denis Golstov on Thursday night.

Here are the PFL 4 Odds, courtesy of BetOnline. 

PFL 4 Odds: Denis Goltsov-Thiago Santos Odds

Denis Goltsov: -450

Thiago Santos: +350

Over 2.5 rounds: -150

Under 2.5 rounds: +120

*Watch sports LIVE with fuboTV (click for a free trial)*

Why Denis Goltsov Will Win

Denis Goltsov is poised to secure a victory over Thiago Santos at PFL 4 on Thursday night.

Goltsov's extensive experience in the heavyweight division gives him a significant advantage. With a professional record of 33-8, Goltsov has demonstrated his prowess with 16 wins by knockout and 11 by submission, showcasing his versatility and finishing ability. His recent performances in the PFL have been particularly impressive, including a first-round knockout of Yorgan De Castro in just 18 seconds and a technical knockout victory over Linton Vassell.

Thiago Santos, while a formidable fighter with a record of 22-12, is making his heavyweight debut this PFL season. Transitioning from light heavyweight to heavyweight can be challenging, as it involves adjusting to opponents with greater size and power. Santos' recent form has also been less than stellar, with three consecutive losses, including a unanimous decision defeat to Yoel Romero.

Goltsov's physical attributes further tilt the scales in his favor. Standing at 6'5″ and weighing 244 lbs, he has a reach advantage and the size to impose his will in the heavyweight division. His background in combat sambo, where he is a two-time world champion, adds to his grappling and striking capabilities, making him a well-rounded threat.

Moreover, Goltsov's consistency and ability to adapt in the cage have been evident throughout his career. His strategic approach and ability to finish fights both on the ground and standing up make him a formidable opponent for Santos, who may struggle to cope with the power and technique of a seasoned heavyweight.

Why Thiago Santos Will Win

Thiago Santos is set to make a statement at PFL 4 on Thursday night.

Santos' striking prowess is a significant factor. Known for his explosive power and knockout ability, Santos has secured 15 of his 22 wins by knockout, showcasing his devastating striking skills. His background in Muay Thai provides him with a diverse striking arsenal, capable of delivering powerful kicks and punches from various angles. This striking versatility could pose a significant challenge for Goltsov, who may struggle to handle Santos' speed and power.

Despite moving up to heavyweight, Santos' agility and speed will be crucial advantages. Heavyweights often lack the quickness seen in lighter divisions, and Santos' ability to move swiftly and strike with precision could exploit this gap. His experience fighting elite competition in the UFC, including bouts against top contenders like Jon Jones and Glover Teixeira, has honed his skills and prepared him for high-stakes matchups.

Moreover, Santos' resilience and heart have been evident throughout his career. He has fought through injuries and adversity, demonstrating a warrior spirit that can be pivotal in tough fights. His recent losses, while setbacks, have provided valuable lessons and motivation to prove himself in the PFL.

Goltsov, while a formidable opponent, may find it challenging to deal with Santos' unorthodox striking and relentless aggression. Santos' ability to close the distance quickly and land powerful strikes could disrupt Goltsov's game plan and lead to a knockout or decision victory.

Thiago Santos' striking power, speed, and experience against top-tier competition make him a strong contender to defeat Denis Goltsov at PFL 4. His determination to succeed in his heavyweight debut adds an extra layer of motivation that could propel him to victory.

Final Denis Goltsov-Thiago Santos Prediction & Pick

This should be a good fight between these two PFL heavyweight contenders. Expect this to be a closely contested matchup in the beginning until Goltsov starts to pull away late. Santos has a tendency to slow down as the fight progresses and it's no different at heavyweight. Ultimately, Goltsov is too big and too technical for Santos as he's able to utilize his size to keep Santos at the end of his strikes outworking and outstriking him over the course of the fight to get the nod on the judge's scorecards.

Click here for more betting news and predictions

Final Denis Goltsov-Thiago Santos Prediction & Pick: Denis Goltsov (-305), Over 2.5 Rounds (-150)