J.J. Wolf takes on Carlos Alcaraz at the French Open. Our French Open odds series has our Wolf Alcaraz prediction and pick. Find out how to watch Wolf Alcaraz.

The 2024 French Open gets underway on Sunday in Paris. Carlos Alcaraz is the No. 3 seed at this tournament. He has been slowed down by an arm injury and is part of a very uncertain Roland Garros men's tournament in which the various superstars headlining the field have all had injury or fitness concerns of some kind in the past few months during the clay season. Australian Open champion Jannik Sinner has been dealing with an injury. Novak Djokovic got hit in the head — accidentally — with a bottle at the recent ATP Tour stop in Rome. Daniil Medvedev has been less than 100-percent healthy. It's a fascinating set of circumstances on an ATP Tour where the major tournaments have generally been predictable for most of the past 20 years, with Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, and Roger Federer regularly making the semifinals of these showcase events. We are leaving that era and transitioning into something profoundly new and murky. Alcaraz, if healthy, would have been a top favorite for the title, but no one is particularly certain how his arm will hold up and whether he will be fit enough to make a deep run. Alcaraz begins his Roland Garros campaign against American J.J. Wolf.

It is worth noting that if you want to watch the start of this match, you will need to be up early on Sunday. This match is on the main stadium court — Court Philippe Chatrier — and follows a women's first-round match between Naomi Osaka and Lucia Bronzetti. That match has a start time of just after 6 a.m. Eastern time and 3 a.m. Pacific. This Wolf-Alcaraz match will start roughly 25 to 30 minutes after the end of Osaka-Bronzetti. So, while we're officially listing the start time as 8 Eastern and 5 Pacific, that is not a guaranteed start time. If Bronzetti-Osaka finish quickly, the match could start earlier. If Bronzetti and Osaka play a three-hour match, this Wolf-Alcaraz clash won't begin until roughly 9:30 Eastern and 6:30 Pacific. This is life at a tennis tournament, where early-round matches except for the first one on court depend on how long the previous match lasts.

Here are the JJ Wolf-Carlos Alcaraz French Open odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

French Open Odds: JJ Wolf-Carlos Alcaraz Odds

Game spread

Wolf +9.5: -104
Alcaraz -9.5: -128

Money line

JJ Wolf: +2500
Carlos Alcaraz: -10000

To win first set

Wolf: +830
Alcaraz: -1450

Total Games In Match

Over 27.5: -112
Under 27.5: -118

Wolf over 9.5 games: +100
Wolf under 9.5 games: -132

Alcaraz over 18.5 games: -104
Alcaraz under 18.5 games: -128

How To Watch JJ Wolf vs Carlos Alcaraz

TV: Tennis Channel and/or NBC

Stream: Tennis Channel Plus and/or Peacock

Time: Approx. 8 a.m. ET/5 a.m. PT (depending on length of previous match on court)

*Watch JJ Wolf vs Carlos Alcaraz LIVE on fuboTV (click for a free trial)*

Why JJ Wolf Could Cover The Spread

The spread of 9.5 games for this match means that if Wolf can lose three consecutive sets by an average of no more than three games per set, he will cover. In other words, let's say Alcaraz wins this match 6-3, 6-3, 6-3. That means the final score in terms of games won is 18-9 Alcaraz. Wolf would cover the spread. Given Alcaraz's rust and fitness concerns, Wolf has a decent chance of staying relatively close in each set. He might not win one set, but he doesn't need to in order to cover. As long as he doesn't lose a set 6-2 or 6-1, he will cover.

Why Carlos Alcaraz Could Cover The Spread

If Alcaraz can win at least one or two sets by a 6-2 or 6-1 margin, he should cover the game spread. Given the disparity in talent and quality between him and Wolf, that seems reasonable.

Final JJ Wolf-Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Pick

You could get two winning tickets here if you think about it. You could go Wolf to win more than nine games at +100, but also go with Alcaraz to win under 18.5 games at -128. Here's the reasoning: Each set might be close, but Alcaraz won't need a tiebreaker to win any set. He could win 6-4, 6-4, 6-3. Wolf wins 11 games, Alcaraz 18, and you win on two different tickets, not just one.

Final JJ Wolf-Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Pick: Wolf over 9.5 games, Alcaraz under 18.5 games.