The Atlanta Braves will host the Boston Red Sox for the first of a quick two-game set at Truist Park. It’s time to continue our MLB Odds series and make a Red Sox-Braves prediction and pick.
This quick interleague series will feature two talented teams that have been going through their share of struggles coming in. Boston has lost four of its last seven games, while Atlanta is 1-4 in its last five games. Both clubs are currently within the top 10 in runs scored and will look to outslug each other in this mid-week affair.
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the Red Sox-Braves odds.
MLB Odds: Red Sox-Braves Odds
Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-205)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+175)
Over 9 Runs (-123)
Under 9 Runs (+103)
Why The Red Sox Could Cover The Spread
The Red Sox will look to get back on track in this two-game series. They have been very good this season, thanks in large part to their offensive explosion. Boston is currently in the top 10 in runs, hits, home runs, RBI, batting average, slugging, OBP, and OPS. The Red Sox have been a surprisingly great team on the road this season as well. They are currently 4-1 over their last five and 20-10 overall when playing away from Fenway Park. The Red Sox have a chance to win every game with guys like Rafael Devers, J.D. Martinez, and Xander Bogaerts manning the middle of the lineup.
Boston will send left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez to the bump for this series opener. The southpaw has been dealing with his fair share of struggles lately, and that continued with a six-run outing in his last start against the Houston Astros. It has been a tale of two stories for Rodriguez, as he was hot out of the gate with a 5-0 record and 3.82 ERA through his first six starts of the season. He is now 0-4 with a 8.49 ERA over his past six starts, though.
Why The Braves Could Cover The Spread
The Braves are a talented club that has struggled to keep runs off the board. The Braves’ lineup currently ranks in the top 10 in runs, home runs, RBI, slugging, and OPS. They are a terrific offensive club led by MVP candidate Ronald Acuna Jr. The superstar outfielder leads the Braves in runs, homers, RBI, stolen bases, slugging, and OPS. Atlanta has been a much better club at home, going 7-3 in the last 10 games at Truist Park.
The Braves will turn to a left-hander of their own in Tucker Davidson. The southpaw was very impressive over his first three starts of the season. Davidson currently sports a 1.53 ERA through his first 17 2/3 innings of work. He has registered 14 strikeouts and allowed just three earned runs on 10 hits thus far. The 25-year-old will look to build on a great start to his season in his fifth career start.
Final Red Sox-Braves Prediction & Pick
This series features a ton of pop and should be especially exciting for fans of the long ball. Both clubs are within the top 10 in most offensive categories with below-average pitching staffs. With Eduardo Rodriguez’s struggles of late, I expect him to get hit around yet again against a potent lineup. I give Atlanta the edge in this game because of the edge in the pitching matchup, but young Tucker Davidson will have his hands full as well. This total is climbing and now is the time to hop on the over.
FINAL PICK: Over 9 Runs (-123)