We have a rubber match on our hands as these two clubs have split the first two games of the series. Miami took the first game in convincing fashion and the Rockies bounced back with a one-run victory on Wednesday. Which club will have the edge and head into the weekend on a high note?
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the opening Rockies-Marlins odds.
MLB Odds: Rockies-Marlins Odds
Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-120)
Miami Marlins -1.5 (+100)
Over 7.5 Runs (-105)
Under 7.5 Runs (-115)
Why The Rockies Could Cover The Spread
The Colorado Rockies haven’t had an ideal season through the first two months, to say the least. The Rockies are currently 25-37 and it’s their performance on the road that has buried them. Colorado is just 5-23 through their first 28 games away from Coors Field. They’ve been a tremendous club at home and if they can improve even in the slightest away from home, they may make some noise down the stretch.
Colorado has been a middle-of-the-pack club offensively as they average the 16th most runs per game in baseball. Good news for the Rockies in this matchup is that they get to face a left-handed starting pitcher. The Rockies are 9-7 in games against southpaw starters, which is promising. The bad news is that the Rockies score two whole runs less per game on the road this season.
Colorado will send out right-hander Chi Chi Gonzalez for the rubber match. Gonzalez is making a spot start for the injured Jon Gray, who was put on the 10-day injured list with a forearm flexor strain. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 4.84 ERA this season. Over his last three appearances, Gonzalez has allowed seven earned runs and struck out just eight batters through 12.2 innings of work.
Why The Marlins Could Cover The Spread
The Miami Marlins have been going through a major slump lately as they’re just 2-10 over their last 12 games played. They have won two out of their last four games, which is promising for a club looking to turn a corner heading into the summer. Miami is now desperate to find a way to string together wins on a more consistent basis.
The Marlins struggles have mostly come at the plate as this club is 28th in runs scored per game. They strike out a ton and don’t hit the long ball enough for that to be acceptable. Miami’s offense has been slightly better at home and the Marlins .500 record at home is much better than they’re 13-22 record on the road. The pitching staff has been above average and has kept this team somewhat afloat heading into the summer.
The Marlins will trot out left-hander Trevor Rogers for the rubber match. Rogers has been dominant this season with a 6-3 record and 1.97 ERA through 12 starts. He has struck out 81 batters in 68.2 innings of work as well. Rogers has been the stopper for this club and has been very good over his last three starts. The Marlins southpaw has allowed five earned runs over 17 innings of work over his past three starts to date.
Final Rockies-Marlins Prediction & Pick
There isn’t much evidence to support this pick, but I am riding with the over in this game. Miami is a better offensive team at home and they get to see a spot starter that has really struggled this year. They’ve scored runs in this series and I see that trend continuing in this game. Although Trevor Rogers has been dominant all year, I’m confident that the Rockies offense will find a way to string some runs together. They have been better against southpaw’s and their offense is what drives them.
FINAL ROCKIES-MARLINS PREDICTION & PICK: Over 7.5 Runs (-105)