The EuroBasket semifinals have arrived, and the spotlight has never been brighter. Giannis Antetokounmpo has carried Greece through the tournament with relentless efficiency and staggering numbers, but now comes the most difficult test yet: undefeated Turkey and its rising superstar Alperen Şengün.

This is the clash the basketball world has been waiting for, a matchup between two national programs that mirror one another in their reliance on versatile, dominant big men who can dictate both ends of the court. Greece enters the semifinals with a 6-1 record, armed with the confidence that comes from navigating group play and elimination games against quality opposition. Yet, the stakes are no longer about pride or incremental progress.

This is about etching legacies into stone, about whether Giannis can take a generational performance and elevate it into something historic. Giannis’s numbers across five games are astounding. Averaging nearly 30 points a night on 70 percent shooting, he has been a force of nature in every sense. His scoring has come in waves of dunks, relentless drives, and a newfound balance in midrange touches that make him almost unguardable when he decides to attack.

His rebounding, nearly nine per game, has been just as valuable, consistently tilting possessions in Greece’s favor. Even his playmaking, at nearly four assists a contest, has added a layer of versatility that separates him from pure scorers. Against Turkey, however, the challenge will demand more.

Şengün has been equally brilliant, playing with poise beyond his years, orchestrating Turkey’s offense, and dominating in the paint. It is not just a clash of stars; it is a clash of philosophies. With the stakes at their highest, Giannis will need to elevate himself beyond the numbers we’ve already seen. The semifinals are the crucible where stars become legends, and this is precisely the type of moment that calls for bold predictions.

Giannis Antetokounmpo will score 35+ points against Turkey

The first bold prediction is that Giannis will cross the 35-point threshold in this semifinal, a feat he has flirted with throughout the tournament but has yet to fully realize, accept his 37 points showcase against Israel. His efficiency has been otherworldly, hitting over 70 percent of his shots across five games, and it speaks to a player who has found the perfect balance between aggression and control. Against Israel in the Round of 16, Giannis erupted for 37 points, a performance that showcased what happens when he is determined to impose his will. That game serves as a template for what Greece will need against Turkey.

Şengün and Turkey’s defense will undoubtedly attempt to wall off the paint, collapsing bodies around Giannis to force him into tough finishes. Yet history has shown that few defensive schemes can truly neutralize him when he plays downhill. What makes 35 points realistic in this scenario is that Greece has structured its offense around him in a way that minimizes his need for long-range shooting. Unlike in the NBA, where Giannis can sometimes be lured into ill-advised threes, the Greek national team plays to his strengths, surrounding him with shooters and cutters who clear lanes for his drives.

Turkey will have no choice but to throw double teams and hard fouls his way, but the pace of the game and the importance of every possession will favor Giannis asserting himself as the go-to scorer. This semifinal is not about balance; it is about dominance. If Greece is to topple undefeated Turkey, it will almost certainly come with Giannis scoring at least 35 points, carrying the offensive load, and making sure every possession bends to his gravitational pull.

Giannis will dominate the boards with 15+ rebounds

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While Giannis’s scoring will be the headline, rebounding may prove to be the most decisive factor in this clash. Turkey thrives on extending possessions through Şengün’s offensive rebounding and facilitating from the post, but Giannis is uniquely positioned to disrupt this rhythm. The bold prediction here is that Giannis will secure at least 15 rebounds, effectively controlling the glass in a way that not only limits Turkey’s second-chance opportunities but also fuels Greece’s transition attack.

The numbers already suggest that Giannis is capable of such a feat. He has averaged nine rebounds per game through the tournament, but his ceiling is far higher. Against Spain, he pulled down 14 boards, showcasing his ability to dominate against one of the most disciplined frontcourts in international basketball. Turkey’s size presents challenges, but Giannis’s athleticism and relentless energy on the boards can swing the balance.

Every rebound in this game will matter more than usual. Turkey plays through Şengün’s touches in the halfcourt, but if Giannis can vacuum up defensive rebounds and ignite fast breaks, it will neutralize Turkey’s ability to set its defense and dictate tempo. On the offensive glass, even two or three extra possessions could tilt the game in Greece’s favor. Fifteen rebounds may sound ambitious, but Giannis has built his career on making the extraordinary seem inevitable. In a semifinal with margins this thin, owning the boards will be the difference between winning and losing, and Giannis is the player most likely to seize that responsibility.

Giannis will record a triple-double

The third bold prediction is the most audacious of all: Giannis Antetokounmpo will record a triple-double in the semifinal against Turkey. While his scoring and rebounding have been dominant, his playmaking is often overlooked in the context of Greece’s system. Yet through five games, he has averaged nearly four assists, and against Spain, he nearly orchestrated a triple-double with 25 points, 14 rebounds, and 9 assists. That near-miss demonstrated just how close he is to breaking through with a complete statistical masterpiece.

Against Turkey, the conditions are ripe for it. The defensive pressure Şengün and his teammates will apply on Giannis will force him to make reads quickly, and he has already shown the ability to punish collapsing defenses by finding cutters or shooters on the perimeter. Players like Nick Calathes and Kostas Papanikolaou thrive on the opportunities Giannis creates, and in a game where Turkey will load up to stop him, those opportunities will come in abundance.

Scoring 35 points and grabbing 15 rebounds is already a tall order, but the true greatness of Giannis is that he can elevate teammates while doing so. If he maintains his aggression while also distributing effectively, the triple-double is not only possible; it is within reach. Achieving it in a EuroBasket semifinal would elevate his tournament performance from dominant to mythical, cementing his place as the defining figure of Greece’s run.