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Latest Miami Heat Buzz

Kevin O'Connor

Kevin O'Connor

2/12/2026, 11:01:25 PM

Just my take: It’s not enough if the NBA stops there with anti-tanking rules changes. 1. If only 1-4 protections are allowed, sure you won’t necessarily have teams tank to keep top 8 or top 10 protected picks. But wouldn’t those teams tank anyway for higher odds of keeping a top 4 pick? Yes. And if picks can only be protected 1-4 but not 5-14, you could end up with the same amount of protected picks traded and more teams feeling like they need to tank harder to increase their odds of keeping their picks. 2. If the standings are frozen on, say, February 1st, wouldn’t teams who want high odds just tank early in the season? Obviously yes. I’m also told the NBA has considered keeping the date a secret until after the season. As opposed to everyone knowing about it in advance. So in theory, the league could choose random dates, or make it so games from January through April count toward the lottery. But if there’s uncertainty about when games are going to matter, wouldn’t teams who want a high pick just tank the whole year? Yes. Just like nine teams are tanking right now. I don’t think these ideas change behavior in the slightest. I felt the same when odds were flattened. Many execs thought it’d only make the issue worse because teams wouldn’t have go full Process Sixers. That’s what has happened. Teams can just get into the mid-lotto range and be satisfied with their odds. The only way to truly stop team from losing purposely is to sever the link between record and lottery odds. That is the direction I believe that Adam Silver should be considering the most, if his goal truly is to put an end to tanking.

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